BMIE Market 13476

Oneida County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,139 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,032 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,364 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$849 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$204,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13476
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-54.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	30 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	30 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	7 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13476. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.1	44	40%	+17.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	29.5	30	35%	+10.3
Market Momentum Score	6.8	7	25%	+1.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,572	49	40%	+19.8
Median household income (ACS)	62,798	35	40%	+13.9
Households (ACS)	1,139	52	20%	+10.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-37.5	9	35%	+3.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	2,572	49	20%	+9.9
Median household income (ACS)	62,798	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 7 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-37.5	7	50%	+3.7
10-year restaurant growth	-37.5	9	30%	+2.6
20-year restaurant growth	-54.6	2	20%	+0.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Bastrds Brewing	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Bar	Bakery	5349 E Seneca St	open
Antoinette's Italian Restaurant & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5458 NY-5, 5458 NY-5	open
Apple Betty	Casual dining	American	5350 Seneca St	open
Carnival Rides and Treats Utica	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		4229 Stuhlman Rd	open
Darla's Place	Café	Coffee	5458 E Seneca St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · American	4464 Peterboro Street	open
Lakay Audio Productions	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Miracle Mile	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American		open
Mr. G's Food and Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	4229 Stuhlman Rd	open
Nothin Fancy Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	10 Ruth St	open
Raceway superstore	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	5458 Seneca St	open
Skyline Frozen Custard & Ice Cream	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Burgers	6506 State Route 5	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5343 E Seneca St	open
The Black Stallion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	5656 NY-5	open
The Daily Dough Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5378 E Seneca St	open
The Kitchen Buffet	Café · Buffet · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	4229 Stuhlman Rd	open
Winner's Circle Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5378 E Seneca St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	8	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	8	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	7	7	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	7	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	8	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	15	11	9	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	14	10	8	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	17	12	10	2	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	14	8	7	1	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	7	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	6	5	1	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13476. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13477	3.5 mi	1	2016
13490	4.2 mi	3	2023
13461	4.6 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.