BMIE Market 13495

Oneida County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,144 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,995 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,639 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,024 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$159,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13495
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	60.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-26.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	31 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	26 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13495. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.8	44	40%	+17.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	25.8	26	35%	+9.0
Market Momentum Score	16.4	16	25%	+4.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,841	43	40%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	66,995	42	40%	+16.9
Households (ACS)	925	48	20%	+9.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	59.8	8	25%	+1.9
Population (ACS)	1,841	43	20%	+8.7
Median household income (ACS)	66,995	42	20%	+8.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	20%	+3.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · European 2 · Greek 2 · Italian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Middle Eastern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aviana’s Kitchen	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		550 Oriskany Blvd	open
BIG J’s VP	Bar		138 Campbell Ave	open
Cantina Catrin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	700 Oriskany Blvd	open
China Wong China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	601 Oriskany Blvd	open
City subs express	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	821 Oriskany Blvd	open
Club Monarch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	16 Erie St	open
Full Throttle Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		821 Oriskany Blvd	open
Greek Gyros Yorkville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	260 Oriskany Blvd	open
Holland Farms Bakery & Deli Holland Farms	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert	Bakery · Sandwiches · Dessert	50 Oriskany Blvd	open
Karam's Middle East Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Middle Eastern	137 Campbell Ave	open
Laufer's Pub	Casual dining · Bar		157 Whitesboro St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	4976 Commercial Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	350 Oriskany Blvd	open
Symeon's Greek Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	4941 Commercial Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	400 Oriskany Blvd	open
The Village Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		138 Campbell Ave	open
Tony's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	700 Oriskany Blvd	open
Venice Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	603 Oriskany Blvd	open
Voss Bar BQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	815 Oriskany Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	315 Oriskany Blvd	open
Wicked Sweets by Alyssa	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	15 Erie St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	3	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	5	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	3	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	16	13	4	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	3	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	4	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	6	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	3	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	12	5	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	5	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	5	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	14	5	9	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13495. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13417	1.1 mi	8	2023
13492	3.0 mi	10	2023
13501	3.3 mi	60	2023
13413	3.4 mi	81	2023
13403	3.7 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.