BMIE Market 13617

St. Lawrence County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,293 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,299 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,836 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,954 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±186 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$161,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,708 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	132.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13617
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-5.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13617. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.9	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.7	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	23.1	23	25%	+5.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,431	74	40%	+29.6
Median household income (ACS)	71,663	50	40%	+19.9
Households (ACS)	4,293	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-5.3	21	35%	+7.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.5	55	25%	+13.7
Population (ACS)	12,431	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	71,663	50	20%	+10.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-5.3	21	30%	+6.3
20-year restaurant growth	5.9	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · American 6 · Bakery 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 12 · Bar 8 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Buffet 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
11 West	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6182 US-11	open
A Taste Of Vermont	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	11 Main St	open
A-1 Oriental Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	43 Main St	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	71 E Main St	open
Asian Buffet & Grill	Buffet		5933 US Highway 11	open
Bent Beam Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		41 W Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	18 NY-310	open
Busters Sports Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 Main St	open
Cascade Inn	Casual dining	American	4 W Main St	open
Char's Bar	Casual dining · Bar		7235 County Rd 27	open
Cindy's Cake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2738 NY-68	open
County Seat Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	90 E Main St	open
Crave Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee	67 Main St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	51 Gouverneur St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	103 East Main St	open
Earthbound Bread	Bakery	Bakery	887 State Highway 68	open
Gibson’s Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	286 Pike Rd	open
Grace Gourmet Star Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 Main St	open
Harvest House	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls	21 Court St	open
Indian Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 Main St	open
JRECK Subs JRECK Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	82 Main St	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	34 Cornell Dr	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	103 East Main Street	open
Light House	Casual dining · Bar		17 College St	open
Little Italy Restaurant and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	107 Main St	open
McDonald's	Quick service		64 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	105 E Main St	open
Northstar Café	Café	Coffee	23 Romoda Dr	open
Paradise Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		St Lawrence Main Road	open
Park Bros. Bagels & Coffee	Café	Coffee	103 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5933 US Highway 11 St. Lawrence	open
PizzaForno PizzaForno	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	23 Romoda Dr	open
Sergi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	31 Main St	open
St. Lawrence University: Pub 56	Buffet · Bar · Casual dining		Pub 56, Avenue of the Elms	open
Subway	Quick service		5533 US Highway 11	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	5933 US-11 Spc #7	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	5933 Route 11, Space #7, University Mall Shopping Cntr	open
SUNY Canton-Chaney Dining Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet		34 Cornell Dr	open
Thai Smile	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	13 Hodskin St	open
The Bagelry - Canton	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	103 Main St	open
The Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	24 Court St	open
The Court Street Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 Court St	open
The Flour Garden FS	Bakery	Bakery	65 Old County Rd	open
The Frozen Spoon of Canton	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8 Park St	open
The Hoot Owl	Bar		40 Park St	open
The Meadows Restaurant	Casual dining	American	5835 Co Rd 27	open
The Stadium Sports Bar	Bar		35 Main St	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	5994 Us Highway 11	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5994 - US Highway 11	open
Tab's Grill & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	23	20	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	27	23	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	19	16	9	6	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	14	8	5	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	10	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	22	16	10	6	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	22	17	12	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	22	17	12	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	22	17	12	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	25	20	13	5	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	23	18	9	6	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	27	21	10	8	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	25	19	9	7	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	24	19	9	7	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	26	20	9	8	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	25	19	9	7	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	26	21	8	9	3	4	NAICS2012
2013	23	19	8	7	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	24	19	7	7	4	4	NAICS2012
2015	23	18	7	6	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	24	18	8	5	4	5	NAICS2012
2017	25	22	11	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	24	20	10	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	22	18	8	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	23	19	8	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	24	20	9	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	24	20	7	11	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	23	18	5	10	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13617. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.