BMIE Market 13669

St. Lawrence County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,061 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±329 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,452 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,202 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,304 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,994 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$788 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$100,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	101.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13669
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-3.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 24–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13669. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.2	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.8	48	35%	+16.7
Market Momentum Score	25.0	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,542	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,304	47	40%	+19.0
Households (ACS)	6,000	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	15,542	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	70,304	47	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-3.5	19	20%	+3.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

American 15 · Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 7 · Dessert 6 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 20 · Quick service 13 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 9 · Specialty food shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
803 State Street Nigs2	Bar		803 State St	open
Amvets Post 19	Bar		215 Ford St	open
Asian Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1000 Linden St	open
Big Cheese Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	701 Canton St	open
Black Lake Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4448 CR-6	open
Bluebird at Commerce Park	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	120 Chimney Point Dr	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1111 Champlain Street	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	732 Canton St	open
Buster's Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1130 Paterson St	open
Cam's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	302 Ford St	open
Chick's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1608 Ford St	open
China Star Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2981 Ford Street Ext Ste 3	open
Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	828 Morris St	open
Da Vinci's	Bar		1301 Ford St	open
Dirty Gringo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Pizza	109 Main St	open
Dixie Lee Fried Chicken Dixie Lee Fried Chicken - Ogdensburg	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	432 State St	open
donut king	Casual dining	American	Canton st	open
Doug’s Dogs	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	125 Hamilton St	open
Duff's Bar	Bar		935 Ford St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1147 Patterson St	open
Fish 'Er Chips	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	802 Ford Street	open
Freight House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	20 Market St	open
Ghize's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	720 Main St	open
Gran-View	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	6765 State Highway 37	open
Howies E	Casual dining · Bar		809 New York Ave	open
Inn On The Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	350 Taylor Rd	open
Jdm Development, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2900 Ford Street Ext	open
Joseph E. Sullivan & Sons, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2900 Ford Street Ext	open
Joseph's Little Italy, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 State St	open
JRECK Subs JRECK Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	49 Main St	open
Jreck Subs JRECK Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2900 Ford Street Extension	open
Lisbon American Legion	Bar		328 Franklin St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	637 State St	open
Little Italy Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	900 State St	open
Little Richard's On The River	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7191 NY-37	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1134 Paterson St	open
Myer's Pub	Bar		17 Commerce St	open
Nadine's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1515 Ford St	open
Nig's Tavern	Bar		803 State St	open
Not Your Average Cookie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	426 Lee Rd	open
Oscar's	Bar		1222 Ford St	open
Phillips Diner	Casual dining	American	415 Ford St	open
Phoenix On The Bay	Bar		1702 Ford St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1010 Paterson St	open
River Myst Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		9830 State Highway 37	open
Route 68 Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4962 NY-68	open
Sandwich Warehouse	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	601 Canton St	open
Shipwreck’d Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17 Commerce St	open
Smuggler's Cafe	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	54 E River St	open
Snackline & Sweets	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	608 Ford St	open
Stone-Ez Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	3748 NY-37	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1111 Champlain St	open
Sugar Rush Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	30 Lafayette St	open
Sully's Tavern	Bar	British / Irish pub food	901 Ford St	open
Sweet Emilie’s Coffee & Ice Cream	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	34 Lake St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2979 Ford Street Extension	open
The Bagelry	Bakery	Bakery	2981 Ford Street Ext	open
The Bayside Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1702 Ford St	open
The Busy Corner Cafe	Café	Coffee	234 Ford St	open
The East Branch Inn	Casual dining · Bar		350 Taylor Rd	open
The Place	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1612 Ford St	open
Tiki At The Docks	Bar		119 W River St	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Burgers · Dessert	1111 Champlain St	open
Tru North Pizza	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	4669 NY-68	open
Val's Deli	Dessert	Dessert	234 Ford St	open
Vinn's Tavern	Bar	American	627 Proctor Ave	open
Willy Dog	Food truck		835 Commerce Park Drive, Ogdensburg, NY 13659, United States	open
Cobblestone Cafe	Café	Coffee	234 Ford St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	20	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	27	20	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	29	22	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	33	25	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	31	27	14	12	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	33	25	12	12	1	8	NAICS1997
2000	38	30	16	12	2	7	NAICS1997
2001	32	26	14	10	2	6	NAICS1997
2002	35	28	13	14	1	7	NAICS1997
2003	36	29	10	16	1	7	NAICS2002
2004	35	28	9	17	1	7	NAICS2002
2005	32	26	11	13	1	6	NAICS2002
2006	32	27	12	13	1	5	NAICS2002
2007	34	29	19	9	—	5	NAICS2002
2008	32	28	18	9	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	31	26	15	10	—	5	NAICS2007
2010	29	25	13	11	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	31	28	15	11	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	36	31	14	15	1	5	NAICS2012
2013	33	28	13	13	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	31	26	11	14	—	5	NAICS2012
2015	32	27	13	13	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	37	30	13	15	1	6	NAICS2012
2017	38	30	14	14	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	37	30	13	15	—	6	NAICS2017
2019	38	32	14	16	—	6	NAICS2017
2020	30	25	11	13	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	32	26	11	13	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	33	28	12	15	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	32	28	10	17	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13669. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.