BMIE Market 13732

Tioga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,069 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,153 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,291 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,904 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$192,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,732 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13732
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13732. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.8	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.9	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	31.9	32	25%	+8.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,385	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	88,750	72	40%	+28.8
Households (ACS)	3,069	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	7,385	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	88,750	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	50%	+10.2
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alonzo's Apalachin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		163 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Big Dipper Ice Cream Big Dipper Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6935 NY-434	open
Blue Dolphin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	7670 NY-434	open
Bud's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4740 NY-434	open
Cervino's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	568 Main St	open
Chat-a-wyle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	8714 State Route 434	open
Chef Stanley's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7664 NY-434	open
Donoli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	6510-6568 NY-434	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	7858 State Route 434	open
Fritzy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8836 State Route 434	open
Gigi's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	568 Main St	open
Lucky Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6532 State Route 434	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7774 NY-434	open
Mister Koffee Service	Coffee shop	Coffee	6936 State Route 434	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7664 State Route 434	open
Ransom Steele Tavern	Bar		552 Main St	open
Ruby Blues Concessions LLC	Food truck		8492 State Route 434	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6793 State Route 434	open
Terrace	Bar · Casual dining		NY-434	open
The Back Bar	Bar		598 Main St	open
The Dugout Sports Bar and Pizzeria	Bar	Pizza	6125 State Route 434	open
The Pit BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7830 State Route 434	open
Vicinato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8208 Rte 434	open
Waterman's Cafe and Tasting Barn	Café	Coffee	6172 NY-434	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	6	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	6	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	6	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	9	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13732. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.