BMIE Market 13783

Delaware County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,005 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,670 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,113 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,510 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	59.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$879 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$162,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	112.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13783
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	30 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	30 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13783. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	34.7	35	40%	+13.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	29.8	30	35%	+10.4
Market Momentum Score	24	24	25%	+6.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,035	45	40%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	51,510	17	40%	+6.7
Households (ACS)	1,005	50	20%	+9.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	29.5	21	25%	+5.2
Population (ACS)	2,035	45	20%	+9.0
Median household income (ACS)	51,510	17	20%	+3.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Quick service 2 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
all sorts	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	169 E Front St	open
Casita Mexicana Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	11 W Main St	open
Circle E Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	369 E Front St	open
Cool Beans Hancock NY	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee		open
Delaware Delicacies Smoke House	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ · Sandwiches	420 Rhodes Rd	open
Do Drop Inn	Bar		1541 NY-268	open
Hancock Town House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 E Main St	open
Honest Eddie's Tap Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	137 E Front St	open
Little Italy II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	43 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	86 W Main St	open
McTigues Family Restaurant & Tavern -Closed	Bar · Casual dining		23 E Main St	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	110 E Front St	open
Nightshade on Elm	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	9 Elm Street	open
Redrum Motorcycle Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	Planet Earth	open
River Run Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	150 Faulkener Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	494 W Main St	open
Tee's On The Green	Restaurant (service type not stated)		522 Golf Course Rd	open
The Cow Lick	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	23585 NY-97	open
The Maple Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	137 E Front St	open
The Truck.	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	199 Wheeler St	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop	Coffee	494 W Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	8	4	3	1	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	4	2	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	11	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	9	5	2	3	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	12	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	10	6	2	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13783. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13774	4.8 mi	—
18461	4.9 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.