BMIE Market 13815

Chenango County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±275 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,503 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,999 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,554 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$881 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±87 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$133,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	108.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13815
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+7.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 25–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13815. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.7	58	40%	+23.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.8	48	35%	+16.7
Market Momentum Score	61.4	61	25%	+15.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,654	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	61,469	32	40%	+12.9
Households (ACS)	5,503	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.7	29	25%	+7.2
Population (ACS)	12,654	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	61,469	32	20%	+6.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	30.4	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Chinese 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Café 10 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 6 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angela's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6142 State Highway 12	open
Angela’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6142 NY-12	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6151 State Highway 12	open
Bill's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6082 State Highway 12	open
Bohemian Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	103 E Main St	open
Broad Street Tavern	Casual dining · Bar			open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5616 NY-12 Box 250a	open
Byrne Dairy and Deli Byrne Dairy	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	69 E Main St	open
Carnival Eats Norwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)		168 E Main St	open
Charlie's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		47 E Main St	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5640 NY-12	open
Cottage Bakery, Llc	Bakery	Bakery	17-19 S Broad St	open
DailyKnead Farm Stand LLC	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	975 County Rd 10A	open
Deja Brew	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	17-19 S Broad St	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	75 N Broad St	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	5698 State Highway 12	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5698 NY-12	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	4839 State Highway 23, Mirabito Gas Station	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	5697 State Highway 12	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6157 State Highway 12	open
Dusty's Dairy Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	6072 State Highway 12	open
Eicke's	Casual dining	American	105 E Main St	open
Garf's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	23 N Broad St	open
Good Karma Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	6082 State Highway 12	open
Hidden Springs Brewhouse	Brewery / taproom · Bar		170 County Rd 31	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5631 State Highway 12	open
Johnny B's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	26 E Main St	open
Jordan & Anna Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6142 State Highway 12 Ste 10	open
Karolyn's Krossroads Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	23 S Broad St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5412 NY State Route 12	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		70 E MAIN ST	open
La Maison Blanche Bakery Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	5420 NY-12	open
Lindy's	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	5326 NY-12	open
Little Caesar's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	54 E Main St	open
Magro's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	102 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	165 S Broad St	open
Millies Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 E Main St	open
Minty's Candies & Treats	Dessert		33 S Broad St	open
Moi's Center City Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	28 S Broad St	open
Nina's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	32 S Broad St	open
Norwich Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	6142 NY-12	open
Norwich Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6142 NY-12 Suite 5	open
Olibia Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6082 State Highway 12	open
Ozzie's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6082 NY Route 12	open
Park Place Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	7 E Park Pl	open
Parsons daughter	Dessert	Dessert	6 W Park Pl	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6096 NY-12 Route 12, Box 564 Route 12, Box 564	open
Ray's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	22 W Midland Dr	open
San Ho Chinese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	23 S Broad St	open
Serendipity Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	19 Eaton Ave	open
Smokin' Bones BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6171 NY-12	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5396 State Highway 12	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5636 State Highway 12	open
Taylor's Country House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	297 NY-320	open
The Blarney Stone Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	26 S Broad St	open
The Donut Hut & Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6173 State Highway 12	open
Thomsen's Tavern	Bar			open
Two Sister's Café	Café	Coffee		open
Wren Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	24 S Broad St	open
China House Take Out Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5640 State Highway 12	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	28	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	31	28	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	33	30	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	33	25	15	9	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	29	23	13	9	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	30	21	12	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	30	22	14	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	30	20	13	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	32	23	13	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	33	26	14	10	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	35	30	13	15	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	34	30	14	13	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	37	28	14	11	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	33	26	12	10	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	36	28	14	11	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	32	24	14	7	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	30	22	13	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	32	28	17	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	32	27	15	10	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	34	29	15	12	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	32	28	15	11	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	29	25	13	11	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	32	28	13	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	31	27	13	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	35	30	16	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	33	28	14	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	30	25	13	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	37	32	14	13	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	36	30	14	11	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13815. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13814	4.8 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.