BMIE Market 13902

Broome County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,449 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±193 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	0 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	19.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13902
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2001–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13902. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2001–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.7	45	40%	+17.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.2	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	72.3	72	25%	+18.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,449	66	40%	+44.3
Households (ACS)	0	1	20%	+0.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+15.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.4	90	25%	+28.3
Population (ACS)	7,449	66	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (6)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2nd Heaven	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4400 Vestal Pkwy E	open
Chick N Bap	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Korean	4400 Vestal Pkwy E	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	4400 Vestal Pkwy E	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	4400 Vestal Parkway East	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	879-881 Upper Front Street	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4400 Vestal Parkway East, Univ Union Bldg Marketplace	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	—	—	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	6	—	—	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	—	—	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13902. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13850	3.7 mi	78	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.