BMIE Market 14009

Wyoming County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,762 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,672 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,757 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,761 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,880 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$829 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$162,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,915 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	73.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14009
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14009. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.1	52	40%	+20.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.9	47	35%	+16.4
Market Momentum Score	29.3	29	25%	+7.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,748	63	40%	+25.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,761	35	40%	+13.9
Households (ACS)	2,762	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.9	35	25%	+8.8
Population (ACS)	5,748	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	62,761	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	50%	+10.2
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	-14.3	15	20%	+3.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
49 Coffee House and Eatery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	277 Main St	open
Beer Justice Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3 Hurdville Rd	open
Coops Red Caboose	Quick service · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	571 W Main St	open
Cup of Grace Tea and Coffeehouse	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	285 Main St	open
Farmhouse Cafe FarmHouse Cafe & Bakery	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	223 Liberty St	open
Fiesta Bamba Fiesta Bamba Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	563 W Main St	open
Food King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	274 Main St	open
Java Lake Conservation Club	Bar		5357 Java Lake Rd	open
John & Mary's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	621 Main St	open
Kettle Corn Kreations & Snacks Llc	Other · Dessert	Dessert	283 Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service		195 Sawmill Drive	open
Laura's Cakes And More LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	249 Main St	open
Main Street Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	246 E Main St	open
Main Street Wines & Supplies	Winery / distillery / taproom		249 Main St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	289 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	700 W Main St	open
Menu	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		550 Main St	open
Nellie's	Casual dining	American	572 W Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	660 W Main St Unit #5	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		197 Sawmill Dr.	open
The Indian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	282 Main St	open
Three Danes Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	1570 Genesee Rd	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	658 W Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service		378 Route 39	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	2	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	4	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	6	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	17	15	5	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	15	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	7	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14009. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14082	4.4 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.