BMIE Market 14063

Chautauqua County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,289 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±307 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,870 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,761 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,937 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$866 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$183,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	50.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14063
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14063. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.1	55	40%	+22.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.5	37	35%	+12.8
Market Momentum Score	28.8	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,575	74	40%	+29.6
Median household income (ACS)	57,937	26	40%	+10.5
Households (ACS)	5,289	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.7	22	35%	+7.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.7	36	25%	+8.9
Population (ACS)	12,575	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	57,937	26	20%	+5.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.7	24	50%	+11.9
10-year restaurant growth	-3.7	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	30	52	20%	+10.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Japanese 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 16 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 10 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
64 On The Rocks	Casual dining · Bar		64 W Main St	open
A Spot & A Spell	Café	Coffee	29 W Main St	open
Angry Squirrel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	36 W Main St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10438 Bennett Rd	open
Arctic Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Sushi · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls	44 W Main St	open
Barley Dog Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34 W Main St	open
Big Cheeseburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	36 W Main St	open
BJ's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	51 W Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	10366 Bennett Rd	open
Burger King	Quick service		Route 60	open
Cakes by Joyce and Peggy	Bakery	Bakery	5066 Berry Rd	open
Campano's Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	31 E Main St	open
Chai's Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	53 W Main St	open
Coughlan's Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	47 W Main St	open
D.P. Dough D.P. Dough Virginia Tech	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	13 E Main St	open
DeJohn's Italian Spaghetti House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	26 W Main St	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10390 Bennet Road	open
Domus Fare	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	41 W Main St	open
Downtown Brew	Bar		13 Water St	open
Dupers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	33 Church St	open
East Main Cafe	Café	Coffee	183 E Main St	open
Ellicottville Brewing Company Fredonia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	34 W Main St	open
Firehouse Subs Fredonia Firehouse Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	10376 Bennett Rd	open
Fred's	Casual dining · Catering · Bar	American	22 Water St	open
Fredonia Buddy Brewster's Ale House	Casual dining · Bar	American	10450 Bennett Rd	open
Gdk Development Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10371 Bennett Rd	open
GONG Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Gumba's 44 Orchard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 Orchard St	open
Heenan's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	39 E Main St	open
Heenans Management Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Water St	open
Hops and Hounds Brewing Company, Inc	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4556 Webster Rd	open
Intermezzo Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	12 Park Pl	open
Kolassa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	30 Water St	open
Lena's Pizza, Subs & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	18 Canadaway St	open
Lil Magill's	Bar		13 Water St	open
Mary's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	100 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10365 Bennett Rd	open
NANA PERUVIAN KITCHEN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	21 Prospect St	open
Not Your Mother's Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	321 E Main St	open
Old Main	Bar		24 Water St	open
Om Nohm Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	45 Temple St	open
P*Dubs Pizza Wings & Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	36 W Main St	open
Ponderosa Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	10450 Bennett Rd	open
Raven & Thorn	Casual dining · Bar		26 Water St	open
Rocco's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	42 Orchard St	open
Sonic Sonic	Quick service		10387 Bennett Road	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	Old Main Dr	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	45 W Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10401 Bennett Rd	open
Sullivan's Charbroil	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	3590 E Main St	open
Sunny's	Bar		43 Water St	open
Sw Wallace Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 E Main St	open
The Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	24 W Main St	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee	280 Central Ave	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	10371 Bennett Rd	open
Tully's Pub	Bar		26 Water St	open
Upper Crust Bakery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27 E Main St	open
Upper Crust Wellness Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	27 E Main Rd	open
Valentine's Place	Bar		12 Water St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10350 Route 60	open
Willy C's Food Court	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Dessert	280 Central Ave	open
Wing City Grille Fredonia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10450 Bennett Rd	open
Woodbury Winery & Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		3215 S Roberts Rd	open
Woodland Brews Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	50 W Main St	open
Yokoso Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	10370 Bennett Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	35	26	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	34	27	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	37	29	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	38	29	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	36	23	9	13	1	13	NAICS1997
1999	36	22	8	14	—	14	NAICS1997
2000	31	22	7	15	—	9	NAICS1997
2001	30	20	8	12	—	10	NAICS1997
2002	34	22	9	13	—	12	NAICS1997
2003	31	20	9	11	—	10	NAICS2002
2004	35	23	9	14	—	10	NAICS2002
2005	32	22	10	11	1	9	NAICS2002
2006	33	21	10	10	1	10	NAICS2002
2007	36	25	13	11	1	10	NAICS2002
2008	35	25	12	11	2	8	NAICS2007
2009	37	26	14	11	1	9	NAICS2007
2010	36	27	15	11	1	7	NAICS2007
2011	34	24	11	11	2	8	NAICS2007
2012	36	27	14	11	2	7	NAICS2012
2013	37	27	12	13	2	8	NAICS2012
2014	37	29	13	15	1	6	NAICS2012
2015	36	28	13	14	1	6	NAICS2012
2016	38	29	14	14	1	6	NAICS2012
2017	35	26	12	12	—	7	NAICS2017
2018	36	27	13	12	—	6	NAICS2017
2019	36	27	12	12	3	7	NAICS2017
2020	39	30	14	12	4	7	NAICS2017
2021	34	23	8	11	4	8	NAICS2017
2022	38	26	10	14	—	8	NAICS2022
2023	38	26	10	13	3	8	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14063. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14752	4.0 mi	3	2023
14718	4.9 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.