BMIE Market 14423

Livingston County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,947 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,075 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,799 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,019 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$954 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±138 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$183,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,909 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14423
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14423. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.6	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	41.5	41	25%	+10.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,947	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,807	63	40%	+25.3
Households (ACS)	2,075	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.2	56	25%	+14.0
Population (ACS)	4,947	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	80,807	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	-22.2	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angry Rooster Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3178 State St	open
Blissful Bites	Bakery	Bakery	860 Sand Hill Rd	open
Breaking Bread Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3103 Main St	open
Cozy Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	3103 Main St	open
Crazy Birds Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	3133 Main St	open
Daffie's Pizza And Tavern, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 North St	open
Daves Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	26 North St	open
Hartmann Mary Attix	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Jamisons BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3180 State St	open
Lindasweetreats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	23 North St	open
Mei Ho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3163 State St	open
New York Bean	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	2905 Caledonia Leroy Rd	open
Pizza Land Pizza Land	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3150 State St	open
Springbrook Tap & Table	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		26 North St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3235 State St	open
Village Inn Village Inn Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3137 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	7	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	11	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14423. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.