BMIE Market 14467

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,168 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,003 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±426 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,105 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,855 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$225,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14467
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+90.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14467. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.8	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.4	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	56.1	56	25%	+14.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,168	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	88,653	72	40%	+28.8
Households (ACS)	4,583	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	35%	+17.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.7	41	25%	+10.2
Population (ACS)	10,168	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	88,653	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.6	62	50%	+31.0
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	26.7	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 2 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbotts Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	2755 E Henrietta Rd	open
Back To My Place	Bar · Café	Coffee	3024 E Henrietta Rd	open
Bamboo Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2761 E Henrietta Rd	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	2755 E Henrietta Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4799 W Henrietta Rd	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5370 W Henrietta Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		4775 W Henrietta Rd	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	607 Jefferson Rd	open
Creamcredible Ice Cream & Desserts	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3130 E Henrietta Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3068 E Henrietta Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4900 W Henrietta Rd	open
Fire Crust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4843 W Henrietta Rd	open
Fireside Grill & Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	3939 E Henrietta Rd	open
Georgeffie Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4835 W Henrietta Rd	open
Guys Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3105 E Henrietta Rd	open
Happy Days On The Go	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2755 E Henrietta Rd	open
Lehigh Restaurant	Casual dining	American	4835 W Henrietta Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Sandwiches	4840 W Henrietta Rd	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3118 E Henrietta Rd #9701	open
Orange Chillies Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4843 W Henrietta Rd	open
Peak Building Group,llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3939 E Henrietta Rd	open
Peppermints	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4870 W Henrietta Rd	open
Perri's Pizzeria Perri's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3105 E Henrietta Rd	open
Pontillo's Pizzeria Henrietta Ny	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2761 E Henrietta Rd	open
Read's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3130 E Henrietta Rd	open
Roost Country Showcase	Bar		4853 W Henrietta Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2655 E Henrietta Rd	open
Stone's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		3115 E Henrietta Rd	open
Sunny Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3118 E Henrietta Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1008 Lehigh Station Road	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	4760 W Henrietta Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4747 West Henrietta Road	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	12	8	4	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	17	13	9	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	8	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	8	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	9	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	16	15	7	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	5	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	15	6	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	18	17	6	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	19	6	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	22	7	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	19	8	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	6	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	7	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	19	7	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	19	6	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	3	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14467. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14623	3.8 mi	147	2023
14586	3.9 mi	4	2023
14534	4.8 mi	33	2023
14543	4.9 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.