BMIE Market 14472

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,039 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,469 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$129,655 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,164 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,157 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$375,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14472
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14472. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.6	79	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.1	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	59.1	59	25%	+14.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,039	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	129,655	93	40%	+37.2
Households (ACS)	3,394	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.0	72	25%	+18.1
Population (ACS)	9,039	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	129,655	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	20%	+2.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
20 Deep Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		187 Mendon Ionia Rd	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	40 N Main St	open
Brewery Pub and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8 W Main St	open
Cb Craft Brewers	Brewery / taproom		300 Village Square Blvd	open
Cosmo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7 W Main St	open
Critic's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 N Main St	open
Dipper Dan	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	136 W Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	116 W Main St	open
Falls Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	28 East St	open
Flaherty's Three Flags Inn Flaherty's Honeoye Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	60 W Main St	open
Four Seasons Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	17 W Main St	open
grist.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	61 N Main St	open
Guida's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	166 W Main St	open
Log Cabin Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	7620 Corby Rd	open
Main St. Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	58 N Main St	open
Okay Beer Co. at West Main Lanes	Brewery / taproom · Bar		126 W Main St	open
Parkers Station 1	Bar			open
Ruck's Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	166 W Main St	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	31 W Main St	open
Sweet & Cute Sweets	Café	Coffee	28 East St	open
TK's On The Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8 W Main St	open
Tony & Enzo's Slices	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 N Main St	open
Honeoye Falls Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		168 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	6	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	5	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	5	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	14	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	8	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	6	1	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	5	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	5	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	5	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	4	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	4	—	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	4	—	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14472. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14585	4.4 mi	2	2001
14506	4.7 mi	5	2023
14475	4.7 mi	—
14543	5.0 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.