BMIE Market 14513

Wayne County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,976 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,073 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,309 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,007 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$150,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,874 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14513
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+36.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 24–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14513. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.0	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.9	38	35%	+13.3
Market Momentum Score	24.7	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,375	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	65,309	39	40%	+15.7
Households (ACS)	5,804	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.1	16	35%	+5.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	13,375	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	65,309	39	20%	+7.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	-16.1	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	23.8	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 5 · Breakfast 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 8 · Quick service 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BB's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	103 East Ave	open
Bee Tee's Drive-In	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1129 E Union St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	710 W Union St	open
Canal View Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	247 W Union St	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	162 West Ave	open
Craft 120	Bar	American	120 E Union St	open
CrossPark Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1121 E Union St	open
Crosspark Of Newark Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1121 E Union St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	241 E Union St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	242 E Union St	open
Erie Shore Landing	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	50 East Ave	open
Grady's Pub	Bar		125 N Main St	open
Great Wall Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	510 W Union St	open
Grind-On Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	212 S Main St	open
Happi Hammi Taiyaki & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	104 S Main St	open
Kcalabrese, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		247 W Union St	open
Ling Ling Chinese Restaurant	Café	Chinese · Coffee · Asian	210 S Main St	open
Mark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	535 W Union St	open
McBride's Newark Diner	Casual dining	American	246 E Union St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	531 W Union St	open
Monterrey's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	833 W Union St	open
Nana's Village Restaurant & Catering	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	212 N Main St	open
New Great Wall Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1145 E Union St	open
Newark Kountry Club	Bar		2 Country Club Dr	open
Oats & O’s	Café · Dessert · Bakery	Breakfast · Dessert · Coffee	230 W Union St	open
Old Goat Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3391 Fairville Maple Ridge Rd	open
Parker's Grille & Tap House	Casual dining · Bar		206 S Main St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	224 W Union St	open
Pontillo's Pontillo's of Newark	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	120 E Union St	open
Que Rico Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	419 N Main St	open
Richies 19th hole	Bar		102 Moore St	open
Runaway Blue Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		102 S Main St	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	205 S Main St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6788 Route 31 East	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	833 W Union St	open
Sugar & Slice Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	535 W Union St	open
Sweet Daisy's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2693 RT-88	open
Sweet Impressions	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	214 Moore St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	110 Mason Street	open
The lil’ Barn	Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1129 E Union St	open
The NovelTea Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	1991 Arcadia Zurich Norris Rd	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service	Coffee · Breakfast	821 W Union St	open
Tom Wahl's Tom Wahl's	Quick service · Casual dining	Burgers · American	585 W Union St	open
Tommy's	Bar		145 Railroad Ave	open
Wdw Management, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		218 Ford St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	510 W.Union St.	open
Zain’s Smashed & Loaded	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	210 S Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	24	19	9	8	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	23	20	9	9	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	20	17	9	6	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	8	10	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	24	18	7	10	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	25	21	8	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	25	21	6	12	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	24	19	4	12	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	24	21	7	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	24	21	9	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	27	24	8	14	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	26	23	9	12	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	29	26	10	13	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	30	27	9	15	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	32	30	11	15	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	32	31	12	16	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	30	28	8	16	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	32	30	8	18	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	31	30	9	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	31	30	10	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	28	8	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	28	8	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	29	8	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	29	7	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	28	7	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	7	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14513. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14537	4.0 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.