BMIE Market 14522

Wayne County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,121 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,003 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,565 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,185 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,116 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$944 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$159,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,832 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14522
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-8.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14522. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.1	64	40%	+25.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.3	53	35%	+18.6
Market Momentum Score	55.8	56	25%	+13.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,121	69	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	75,116	55	40%	+22.1
Households (ACS)	4,003	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.1
Population (ACS)	9,121	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	75,116	55	20%	+11.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adelina’s Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	505 W Main St	open
Akropolis Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Greek · American	513 Canal St	open
Athenia Restaurant	Casual dining	American	606 E Main St	open
Black Hart BBQ	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	623 E Main St	open
Cafe Aqueduct	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 E Main St	open
Candy Corner	Dessert		205 E Main St	open
Chill & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	616 E Main St	open
Drumlins Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		235 E Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	544 E Main St	open
Finn's Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3191 State Rte 21	open
Happiness Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	212 E Main St	open
Lock 29 Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		222 E Main St	open
Mark's Pizzeria Mark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	240 E Main St	open
McCann's Coffeehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	235 W Main St	open
Mickey's Restaurant	Bar		3495 Vienna St	open
Muddy Waters Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	100 Division St	open
Pulcini's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2460 State Rte 21	open
Roc City Roasting	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	235 W Main St	open
Tas-geo Of Palmyra Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		513 Canal St	open
The Bridge Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1678 State Rte 21	open
The Hog & Hen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	201 E Main St	open
The Place	Bar		Market St	open
Yellow Mills Diner	Casual dining	American	2534 NY-31	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	13	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	15	11	6	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	12	8	3	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	12	8	4	2	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	11	7	3	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	4	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	3	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	4	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	3	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	15	11	3	7	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	13	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	13	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	4	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	15	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14522. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14537	3.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.