BMIE Market 14527

Yates County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,677 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±246 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,820 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,670 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,758 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$194,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,561 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	134.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14527
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+35.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14527. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.9	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.6	41	35%	+14.2
Market Momentum Score	38.5	39	25%	+9.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,677	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	70,758	48	40%	+19.3
Households (ACS)	5,098	75	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.6	22	35%	+7.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	12,677	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	70,758	48	20%	+9.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-3.6	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	35	56	20%	+11.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (102)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 11 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Bar 27 · Winery / distillery / taproom 26 · Casual dining 12 · Café 10 · Brewery / taproom 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Quick service 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
18th Amendment	Bar · Casual dining		7 Main St	open
Abandon Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2994 Merritt Hill Rd	open
Amity Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3 Main St	open
Andy's BBQ Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	BBQ	268 Lake St	open
Angel's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	5 Main St	open
Anthony Road Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		1020 Anthony Rd	open
Antique Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2940 NY-54A	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service · Casual dining	Bakery · American	3900 State Route 14A	open
Barrington Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		2794 Gray Rd	open
Blue Heron Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	136 Water St	open
Boatyard Grill On The Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 Lake St	open
Burnt Rose Wine Bar & Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 Main St	open
Buzzard Crest Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		2690 Gray Rd	open
Cam's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	25 Main St	open
Canopy Coffee Roasters	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3173 NY-14A	open
Casa Mezcal Reserva	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	104 Liberty St	open
Chen's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	108 Main St	open
Chickenlady's Chickens	Specialty food shop	Chicken / wings	603 State Route 14A	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	203 Lake St	open
Ciderlicious Donuts	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	3900 State Route 14A	open
Climbing Bines Hop Farm & Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		511 Hansen Point Rd	open
Donuts Done Right	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2447 State Route 54A	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	203 Lake St	open
Earle Estates Meadery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2770 NY-14	open
Eastside Grill	Food truck		204 Lake St	open
Flour Shop Cafe & Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	223 Main St	open
Fox Run Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		670 State Route 14	open
Gilly's Pizza & Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Giving Tree Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		2700 Sturdevant Rd	open
Jascor Inc Dba Mcdonalds Of Waterloo Ny	Restaurant (service type not stated)		298 Lake St	open
JAVA-GOURMET Company Store, Black Cat Bistro, Keuka Lake Coffee Roasters, and Seneca Salt Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2808 NY-54A	open
KanPak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 Horizon Park Dr	open
Kashong Glen Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1107 Earls Hill Rd	open
Kelli's Korner Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3900 State Route 14A	open
Kemmeter Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		1030 Larzellere Rd	open
Keuka Lake Wine Trail	Winery / distillery / taproom		2375 State Route 14A	open
Keuka Lake Wineries	Winery / distillery / taproom		3672 E Sherman Hollow Rd	open
Keuka Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	10 Main St	open
Keuka Spring Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		243 E Lake Rd	open
Keuka Spring Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		273 E Lake Rd	open
La Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16 Maiden Lane	open
Lake Life Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		111 Liberty St	open
Laurentide Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12 Maiden Ln	open
Lloyds Limited Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3 Main St	open
LyonSmith Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		138 Water St	open
Mark T. Wiltberger Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		491 State Route 54	open
Mark's Pizzeria Mark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	203A Lake St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	235 Lake St	open
Milly's Market by Milly's Pantry	Café	Coffee	19 Main St	open
Monello	Winery / distillery / taproom		701 State Route 14	open
Moonshadow Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	3900 NY-14A	open
Mustang Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	106 Elm St	open
New China Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	101 Liberty St	open
New Vines Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1138 Travis Rd	open
Not The Same Ole Grind	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	3900 NY-14A	open
Once Finger Lakes	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		655 State Route 14	open
Outlet 111 - Waterfront Craft Cocktail & Wine Bar	Bar		111 Liberty St	open
Pad Thai Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	The Windmill Farm & Craft Market, 3900 NY-14A	open
Parker's Grille - Penn Yan	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11 Main St	open
Parlor Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		139 Elm St	open
Penn Yan Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	131 E Elm St	open
Penn Yan Express Stop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	101 North Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	104 Liberty St	open
Prejean Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2634 State Route 14	open
R & S Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		128 E Elm St	open
Red Tail Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		846 State Route 14	open
Redneck Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Relative Risk Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1166 Earls Hill Rd, Penn Yan NY 14527	open
Rooster Hill Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		489 State Route 54	open
Sabrina's Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Hoban Building, 148 Main St	open
Sans Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1030 Larzelere Rd	open
Scout Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		468 NY-14	open
Seneca Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2485 NY-54A	open
Seneca Lake Wine Trail	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Seneca Shore Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		929 Davy Rd	open
Seneca Stag Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1720 NY-14	open
Sepy Inc Dba Mcdonalds Of Ovid Ny	Restaurant (service type not stated)		298 Lake St	open
Serenity Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		930 Davy Rd # 9644	open
Silverbird Woodfired	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	133 E Elm St	open
Skyline Trading Post	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3103 Skyline Dr	open
Smugglers Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4531 NY-364	open
Spotted Duck	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	999 NY-54	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	232 Lake St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	139 Elm St	open
Switzerland Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10 Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	212 Lake St	open
Tavern Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	114 Elm St	open
The Caramel Corn Shoppe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3900 State Route 14A	open
The Keuka Candy Emporium	Dessert		131 Main St	open
The Liberty Restaurant	Bar	American	221 E Elm St	open
The Tunnel Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	301 Lake St	open
The Wagner Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	124 E Elm St	open
Three Rivers Hots and Brats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		131 Main St	open
Timmy G's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12 Maiden Ln	open
Toasted Shenanigans	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	3900 State Route 14A	open
Treetops Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom		8842 E Bluff Dr	open
Union Block Italian At The Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	138 Water St	open
Vineyard View Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2188 Barnes Rd	open
Wholesome Wonders	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		3900 State Route 14A	open
Windmill Market	Bar			open
香月吗俱乐部	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
Coriale Enterprises, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		298 Lake St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	24	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	31	25	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	25	20	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	30	25	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	32	25	11	10	4	5	NAICS1997
1999	32	24	11	8	5	5	NAICS1997
2000	29	22	10	7	5	5	NAICS1997
2001	29	23	10	7	6	5	NAICS1997
2002	26	23	15	3	5	3	NAICS1997
2003	23	20	14	4	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	21	13	5	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	28	23	15	5	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	27	23	12	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	29	24	15	4	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	28	23	15	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	29	24	14	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	29	24	14	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	30	24	12	9	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	30	26	14	9	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	33	28	13	11	3	4	NAICS2012
2014	31	28	13	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	32	29	13	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	30	27	11	12	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	32	28	13	11	4	4	NAICS2017
2018	32	27	13	10	4	4	NAICS2017
2019	30	26	12	9	5	4	NAICS2017
2020	29	25	12	9	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	30	25	10	8	7	5	NAICS2017
2022	35	29	12	11	6	6	NAICS2022
2023	34	27	13	9	5	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14527. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.