BMIE Market 14546

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,450 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,845 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,695 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,108 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,186 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±156 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$187,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14546
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14546. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.3	66	40%	+26.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.7	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	12.8	13	25%	+3.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,450	59	40%	+23.4
Median household income (ACS)	95,046	78	40%	+31.0
Households (ACS)	1,845	60	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.7	50	25%	+12.5
Population (ACS)	4,450	59	20%	+11.7
Median household income (ACS)	95,046	78	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-30	9	50%	+4.5
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	-12.5	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 3 · Pizza 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amy Rose Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11 Main St	open
Artisan Coffeehouse of Scottsville	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2 Main St	open
China Panda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3892 Scottsville Rd	open
DIRTY DAVES	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		28 Caledonia Ave	open
Fred's Auto Repair, Llc Dba Fred's Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4421 River Rd	open
Greenway Restaurant & Bar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2771 Scottsville Rd	open
Home Taste Jamaican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3892 Scottsville Rd	open
iKON Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	12 Main St	open
Indian Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	2771 Scottsville Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	69 Rochester St	open
Mark's Pizzeria Mark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3892 Scottsville Rd	open
MicGinny's on the Ice	Bar		2000 Scottsville Chili Rd	open
N&c Pizza Works Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11 Main St	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11 Main St	open
Scottsville Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	46 Main St	open
Scott’s Scottsville Hots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3892 Scottsville Rd	open
The Checkered Tavern @ Morgan's Crossing	Casual dining · Bar		760 Scottsville-Chili Rd	open
Vixens	Bar		440 Scottsville Mumford Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	7	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14546. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14514	3.5 mi	10	2023
14586	4.6 mi	4	2023
14428	5.0 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.