BMIE Market 14559

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,039 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,057 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,101 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,794 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,820 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,178 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$238,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,836 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14559
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 23–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14559. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.4	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.1	57	35%	+20.0
Market Momentum Score	32.9	33	25%	+8.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,200	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	94,794	77	40%	+30.9
Households (ACS)	7,039	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.5	55	25%	+13.6
Population (ACS)	17,200	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	94,794	77	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.9	24	50%	+11.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	31.6	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (64)

By cuisine

American 11 · Pizza 9 · Dessert 8 · Italian 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 3 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 8 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Food truck 4 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1933 Pub and Etery	Bar · Casual dining		5019 W Ridge Rd	open
A Gust Of Sun Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		5324 W Ridge Rd	open
Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	138 S Union St	open
Abe's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5232 W Ridge Rd	open
Bad Apples Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	42 Nichols St	open
Berto’s Vision	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	5107 Ridge Rd W	open
Bloom & Blend	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	33 Slayton Ave	open
Bones and Barley Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		377 S Union St	open
Bonnie's Chocolate World	Dessert	Dessert	104 S Union St	open
Breese & Associates, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		174 S Union St	open
Brewskis Food and Drink	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5019 W Ridge Rd	open
Brindle Haus Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		377 S Union St	open
Butterfly kisses sweet shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	12 Amity St	open
Cakes By Karen	Bakery	Bakery	194 S Union St	open
Cam's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2273 S Union St	open
Chef King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Chinese · Asian	31 Slayton Ave	open
Clutch on the Canal	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		94 S Union St	open
DJ's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2139 N Union St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	5017 W Ridge Rd	open
Eat Greek	Food truck · Catering	Greek	1875 N Union St	open
En Gedi Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2407 S Union St	open
Erie Canal Waterside Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		655 Gallup Rd	open
Frank's Italian Ices	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4719 Lyell Rd	open
Galicia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · American	4704 W Ridge Rd	open
Grandpa Sam's Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	138 S Union St	open
Griffs Brewery	Brewery / taproom		5324 W Ridge Rd	open
Johnny D's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2139 N Union St	open
Jvn Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 S Union St	open
Lugias Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4719 Lyell Rd	open
Mangia Mangia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2273 S Union St	open
McColley's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	89 S Union St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	44 Nichols St	open
Napoli’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Pizza · Sandwiches	5107 Ridge Rd W	open
Perri's Pizzeria Perri's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1835 N Union St	open
Pin Chasers Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	45 Nichols St	open
Pizza Shack I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5008 W Ridge Rd	open
Pontillo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	500 S Union St	open
Rachel's Cookies & More	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	131 S Union St	open
Reichert's Pool Bar	Bar		15 Big Ridge Rd	open
Renee's Italian Cookies	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Italian	4782 Ridge Rd W	open
Riccardi Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5107 W Ridge Rd	open
Roc Dilla Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1875 N Union St	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	47 Slayton Ave	open
Sammies -n- Sweets	Food truck · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	46 Nichols St	open
Scoops @ Town Pump	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	1080 Washington St	open
Slayton Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	26 Slayton Ave	open
Slice N Stack Spencerport, NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	377 S Union St	open
Sonnys Landing	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	1875 N Union St	open
Spencerport Free Food Pantry	Food truck		222 S Union St	open
Spencerport Hots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hot dogs · Burgers	500 S Union St	open
Splitz icecream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	45 Nichols St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	174 S Union St	open
Sullivan's Charbroil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4712 W Ridge Rd	open
Texas Bar-B-Q Joint Texas Bar-B-Q Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	122 S Union St	open
The Edge Spencerport	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	4719 Lyell Rd	open
The Galley Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	94 S Union St	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	403 S Union St	open
Union Street Coffee House	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	123 S Union St	open
Village Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	194 S Union St	open
Woodchuck Hill	Brewery / taproom			open
Woofies Gourmet Dog Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5087 W Ridge Rd	open
Yeah Baby! Bakes	Bakery	Bakery	131 S Union St	open
Lighthouse Diner Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 S Union St Ste E	closed
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4618 W Ridge Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	22	19	7	11	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	25	22	9	11	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	7	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	21	16	6	9	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	21	16	5	8	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	23	19	8	8	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	24	20	6	10	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	28	24	8	11	5	3	NAICS2002
2006	24	20	6	11	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	29	25	10	12	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	27	22	10	11	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	27	22	9	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	28	22	10	11	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	29	23	9	11	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	29	23	9	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	31	25	11	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	30	23	10	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	26	21	8	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	26	20	8	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	26	22	8	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	26	10	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	22	8	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	27	11	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	28	12	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	24	9	12	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	25	9	12	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14559. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.