BMIE Market 14612

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±720 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,515 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	15,020 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,969 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$202,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14612
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+18.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	40 (range 37–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.9 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14612. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.7	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.5	53	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	22.4	22	25%	+5.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,152	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	82,800	65	40%	+26.2
Households (ACS)	15,521	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.5	62	25%	+15.6
Population (ACS)	35,152	92	20%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	82,800	65	20%	+13.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	7.3	38	20%	+7.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (114)

By cuisine

American 29 · Italian 14 · Pizza 14 · Dessert 11 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Burgers 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chinese 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Bar 32 · Casual dining 20 · Dessert 15 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	2050 Latta Road	open
Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1000 N River St	open
Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4791 Lake Ave	open
Abbott's Frozen Custard of Greece Abbott's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3208 Latta Rd	open
Amador's barber Lounge	Bar			open
American Burger Bar & Beer Boutique	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3208 Latta Rd	open
Athena High School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 Long Pond Rd	open
Bell Italiana	Quick service	Italian	1 River St	open
Benito’s pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4410 Lake Ave	open
Bill Gray's Bill Gray's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2050 Latta Rd	open
Bill Gray's Bill Gray's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1000 N River St	open
Bill's Long Pond Diner	Casual dining	American	496 Long Pond Rd	open
BRU	Bar	American	3208 Latta Rd	open
Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	3177 Latta Rd	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	824 Long Pond Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	45 Greece Center Drive	open
California Rollin II Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1000 N River St	open
Caraglio's Pizza Caraglio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3366 Latta Rd	open
Char Broil Catering Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1395 Island Cottage Rd	open
Charlotte Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	2 River St	open
Cheeburger Cheeburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1000 N River St	open
China Dragon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	520 Long Pond Rd	open
Cinelli's Kitchen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		840 Long Pond Rd	open
Clutch Kitchen And Sports Bar	Bar		3208 Latta Rd	open
Dan's Horseshoe Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		19 St Johns Park	open
Dave's Long Pond Pub	Bar · Casual dining		510 Long Pond Rd	open
Delectable Desserts	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	35 4th Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3885 Lake Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	834 Long Pond Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2044 Latta Rd	open
Ezzy's Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1260 Latta Rd	open
Flight West	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		836 Long Pond Rd	open
Forest Hill Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	41 E Manitou Rd	open
Frank's Italian Ices	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	687 Ling Rd	open
G's Deli and Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	502 Long Pond Rd	open
Golden Ponds Restaurant & Party House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	500 Long Pond Rd	open
Great American Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	850 Long Pond Rd	open
Guida's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	195 Lemoyn Ave	open
Harbor Hots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	4776 Lake Ave	open
Hose 22 Firehouse Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	56 Stutson St	open
Hyatt Bistro and Wine Bar	Bar		139 Jackie Dr	open
IDlP Pub	Bar		933 Whistlers Cove Ln	open
Jetty at the Port	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1000 N River St	open
Joe's Homestyle Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		502 Long Pond Rd	open
José Joe's Burger's & Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4776 Lake Ave	open
Kim's Woodshed	Bar		4440 Lake Ave	open
La Famiglia Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3208 Latta Rd	open
Lake Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4462 Lake Ave	open
Lake Siders Bar & Grill	Bar		4785 Lake Ave	open
Lakeshore Penalty Box Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 Ling Rd	open
Lakeside Haven Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3212 Lake Ave	open
Lakeside Hots	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	3345 Lake Ave	open
Left-handed Spatula	Food truck		3456 Latta Rd	open
Love, Fern Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	143 Apple Blossom Ln	open
LüBrü Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		79 Yarker Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	729 Long Pond Rd	open
Mr. Dominic's at the Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4699 Lake Ave	open
My Wine And Cheese Bar - Greece	Bar		3208 Latta Rd Ste 3	open
New Orleans Louisiana Waterfront Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4775 Lake Ave	open
Noonans	Bar · Casual dining	American	3170 Lake Ave	open
Old Italy Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1250 Latta Rd	open
Olympia Family Restaurant (Greece)	Casual dining	American · Greek	1100 Flynn Rd	open
Overtime Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4670 Dewey Ave	open
Parkway Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	697 Ling Rd	open
Pelican's Nest Waterfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	566 River St	open
Perris Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4410 Lake Ave	open
Pie Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	303 Denise Rd	open
Pier 45	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1000 N River St	open
Pizzeria Americana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	516 Long Pond Rd	open
Pontillo's Pizzeria	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	4468 Lake Ave	open
Porto Roc Soxial Lounge	Bar	Caribbean	4705 Lake Ave	open
Pullman Associates Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4699 Lake Ave	open
Rab's Woodshed	Bar		4440 Lake Ave	open
Ricci's Family Restaurant Ricci's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3166 Latta Rd	open
Ricci's Italian Imports	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	3180 Latta Rd	open
River Street Bar & Grill	Bar		425 River St	open
ROC Harbor Clam Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	River St.	open
ROC that Cookie	Bakery	Bakery	10 Hojack Park	open
Russell Station Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4670 Dewey Ave	open
Russo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10 Cedarfield Commons	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4000 Lake Ave	open
Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria Salvatore's Old Fashioned Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2044 Latta Rd	open
Schaller's Schaller's Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	965 Edgemere Dr	open
Seger Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		516 Long Pond Rd	open
September's Restaurant & Bar	Bar	American	431 River St	open
Shoot Ya Shot Sports Bar	Bar		29 Stonewood Ave	open
Soho Yogurt Cafe	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	3177 Latta Rd	open
Soulistic Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	1252 Latta Rd	open
Special T Cakes & Desserts Inc	Dessert	Dessert	870 Long Pond Rd	open
Steel River Bbq Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	421 River St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	846 Long Pond Road #846	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4450 Lake Ave	open
Sundowners Inn	Bar		19 Saint Johns Park	open
Sylvio's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1 Alpha St	open
The Front Porch	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3456 Latta Rd	open
The Grove House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	187 Long Pond Rd	open
The Man Shed	Bar		70 Talnuck Dr	open
The Original Charbroil House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1395 Island Cottage Rd	open
The Retreat	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		512 Long Pond Rd	open
The Rock Shrimp Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	4775 Lake Ave	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	649 Long Pond Rd	open
Tropix Eatery & Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		4775 Lake Ave	open
Tropix Eatery Lounge And Event Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4775 Lake Ave	open
Vine & Tap	Bar		4768 Lake Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3190 Latta Rd	open
Whole-E Roasters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3208 Latta Rd	open
Wimpy's Burger Basket Of Greece Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		850 Long Pond Rd	open
Windjammers	Bar · Casual dining		4695 Lake Ave	open
Yolickity Frozen Dessert Zone - Greece	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	848 Long Pond Rd	open
Young Lion Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		24 Lakeshire Rd	open
Cousin Jim's Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3345 Lake Ave	closed
Happy Days On The Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	850 Long Pond Rd	closed
Long Pond Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		496 Long Pond Rd # 1	closed
Triplex Industries Inc Payroll Acct	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Boxart St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	46	37	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	39	31	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	43	34	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	54	44	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	55	42	21	15	6	12	NAICS1997
1999	60	46	25	15	6	13	NAICS1997
2000	59	44	22	16	6	15	NAICS1997
2001	54	41	22	13	6	11	NAICS1997
2002	51	38	17	13	8	12	NAICS1997
2003	58	41	18	16	7	13	NAICS2002
2004	54	41	20	15	6	8	NAICS2002
2005	53	41	20	15	6	7	NAICS2002
2006	54	43	20	17	6	8	NAICS2002
2007	56	46	24	17	5	6	NAICS2002
2008	56	47	24	18	5	6	NAICS2007
2009	51	42	21	16	5	5	NAICS2007
2010	52	45	22	18	5	5	NAICS2007
2011	51	44	25	14	5	4	NAICS2007
2012	54	49	28	17	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	57	52	27	19	6	3	NAICS2012
2014	60	56	29	21	6	3	NAICS2012
2015	56	52	29	17	6	3	NAICS2012
2016	57	51	30	16	5	5	NAICS2012
2017	57	49	28	16	5	6	NAICS2017
2018	56	48	28	16	4	5	NAICS2017
2019	56	47	24	18	5	5	NAICS2017
2020	56	49	25	18	6	5	NAICS2017
2021	54	48	24	19	5	5	NAICS2017
2022	54	45	21	18	6	8	NAICS2022
2023	54	44	22	17	5	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14612. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14616	2.2 mi	33	2023
14515	3.1 mi	1	2016
14626	4.0 mi	68	2023
14615	4.4 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.