BMIE Market 14706

Cattaraugus County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,939 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,561 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,356 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,807 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,236 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$782 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$176,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,636 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-38.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	9 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.1	59	40%	+23.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.6	41	35%	+14.2
Market Momentum Score	8.8	9	25%	+2.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,939	63	40%	+25.3
Median household income (ACS)	73,236	52	40%	+20.9
Households (ACS)	2,561	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-38.5	8	35%	+3.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.5	58	25%	+14.6
Population (ACS)	5,939	63	20%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	73,236	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 9 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-38.5	8	30%	+2.5
20-year restaurant growth	-27.3	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 3 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Brickhouse Bar & Grill	Bar		181 W Main St	open
Burton Hotel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 E Main St	open
Burton Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		3 E Main St	open
Don Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	76 W Main St	open
Fairway View Pavilion	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3398 NY 417	open
Fusion on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	115 W Main St	open
Fusion On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 W Main St	open
GB Snacks & Treats	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		4177 Birch Run Rd	open
Happy Helado	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	100 W Main St	open
Hometown Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	68 W Main St	open
Knights Of Columbus	Bar		3 W Main St	open
La Cocina Wny	Restaurant (service type not stated)		76 W Main St	open
La Roca Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	76 W Main St	open
Main Street Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	61 E Main St	open
Mangia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	71 W Main St	open
Porky's Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	2983 Rogers Rd	open
Randy's Up The River	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3767 S Nine Mile Rd	open
The Hickey Tavern	Bar		96 W Main St	open
The Hickey Tavern	Bar		96 W Main St	open
The Other Place The Other Place - Clear Lake, IA	Bar · Casual dining	American	91 W Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	14	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	13	9	4	3	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	4	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	13	8	3	4	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	13	9	4	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	15	11	6	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	14	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	13	9	4	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	11	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	5	3	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	12	8	6	2	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	10	8	2	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	16	13	8	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	9	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	18	13	8	4	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	15	12	7	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	8	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	7	1	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	15	11	7	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	9	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	16	11	8	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	7	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	13	9	7	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14778	3.1 mi	1	1997

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.