BMIE Market 14733

Chautauqua County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,367 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,833 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,804 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$632 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$109,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,071 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14733
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14733. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.9	47	40%	+18.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.6	53	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	71.5	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,367	54	40%	+21.6
Median household income (ACS)	63,068	35	40%	+14.2
Households (ACS)	1,433	56	20%	+11.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.7	24	25%	+6.0
Population (ACS)	3,367	54	20%	+10.8
Median household income (ACS)	63,068	35	20%	+7.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (13)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Azteca Mexican Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	332 W Main St # 1618	open
Bair's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	34 W Main St	open
Belle	Casual dining · Bar	American	7 E Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	43 E Main St	open
Davidson Restaurant Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)		153 W Main St	open
Dry Brook Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1151 NY-394	open
Ioof	Bar		215 N Work St	open
Maple Tree Cafe & Ice Cream	Café	Coffee	1993 E Main St	open
P&T's Sweet Spot	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	2 W Main St	open
PersNikkity Pies	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	9 E Main St	open
Sisters Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	3218 Falconer-Kimball Stand Rd	open
Tasta Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	153 W Main St	open
Waddington's Tavern Inc.	Bar · Casual dining		344 W Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	12	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	9	6	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14733. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14747	4.0 mi	1	2013
14740	4.4 mi	1	2009

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.