BMIE Market 14750
Chautauqua County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 4,508 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,062 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 4,426 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,384 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $66,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,999 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 49.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $167,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14750 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 54.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +41.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 21–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 29 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14750. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 52.4 | 52 | 40% | +21.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 29.1 | 29 | 35% | +10.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.9 | 24 | 25% | +6.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 4,508 | 59 | 40% | +23.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,622 | 42 | 40% | +16.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,062 | 61 | 20% | +12.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 29 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -7.7 | 20 | 35% | +6.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 53.2 | 9 | 25% | +2.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 4,508 | 59 | 20% | +11.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,622 | 42 | 20% | +8.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 50% | +8.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -7.7 | 20 | 30% | +5.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 20 | 46 | 20% | +9.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (47)
By cuisine
American 8 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 9 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 340 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 100 Mall Blvd | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | 318 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Betty Dixon Candies | Dessert | 318 E Fairmount Ave | open | |
| Big Tree Soft Serve Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4403 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Buddy Brewster's Ale House | Casual dining · Bar | American | 300 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 314 E Fairmount Ave | open | |
| Colquhoun’s Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 48 Chautauqua Ave | open |
| Craft Burgers & Brews | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 60 Chautauqua Ave | open |
| Davidson's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 398 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Delicious Divas | Dessert | Dessert | 123 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 305 East Fairmont Ave | open |
| Farmer Brown's Beef & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 274 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Fifties Grill & Dairy | Casual dining | Burgers · American | 156 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Five Guys | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 318 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Fuji Sushi and Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 279 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Group Ther-Happy | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 103 Chautauqua Ave | open |
| Hope Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 144 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Ice Cream Shack | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4370 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 270 E. Fairmont Avenue | open |
| La Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 273 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Lake Life Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 4477 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Little Caesars | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 279 E Fairmount Ave Ste R | open |
| Lotus Flour Cakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 108 Chautauqua Ave | open |
| Luna Pies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 318 E Fairmount Ave | open | |
| Nanas N Cocos | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | 41 Pennsylvania Ave | open | |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 328 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 80 Mall Boulevard | open |
| Pizza Express Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 179 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes | Quick service | 312 East Fairmount Ave | open | |
| Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 295 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Ryders Cup Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 28 Chautauqua Ave | open |
| Sakura Buffet | Buffet | Japanese · Sushi · Chinese | 110 Chautauqua Mall | open |
| Scallion Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 60 Chautauqua Ave | open | |
| STBC Beer Van | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2072 Stoneman Cir | open | |
| Stedman Corners Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 169 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Stella: A Kitchen & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 60 Chautauqua Ave | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 350 East Fairmount Ave | open |
| Sweetees | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4341 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 310 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| The Empty Bottle Southern Tier Brewing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2051A Stoneman Cir | open | |
| The Lakewood Leafy Lounge | Café · Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 305 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 277 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 350 E Fairmount Ave | open |
| Wells Hog Wild Bbq Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 140 W Fairmount Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 327 East Fairmount Avenue | open |
| Wing City Grille Lakewood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 273 E Fairmount Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |