BMIE Market 14810

Steuben County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,446 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±272 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,356 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,955 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$732 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$112,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	120.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14810
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 16–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14810. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.2	51	40%	+20.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.5	33	35%	+11.7
Market Momentum Score	19.8	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,534	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	51,950	17	40%	+7.0
Households (ACS)	5,446	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.1	40	25%	+9.9
Population (ACS)	11,534	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	51,950	17	20%	+3.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.4	23	50%	+11.6
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	-8.3	17	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 11 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angry Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25 E Steuben St	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	380 W Morris St W Morris Street & Crane Street	open
Big D & Chef T's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 Liberty St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	361 W Morris St	open
Casa Mezcal Flavors of Mexico	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7500 NY-54	open
Chat-A-Whyle Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28 Liberty St	open
Chateau Renaissance Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		7494 Fish Hatchery Rd	open
Chen Xiao Zhong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	348 W Morris St	open
Cinnabon	Other	Sandwiches	7767 State Route 53	open
D.J.'s Flamingo Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7435 NY-415	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7173 NY-54	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	350 W Morris St	open
Emmie’s Ice Cream & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	6713 NY-415	open
Havall, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 Liberty St	open
Island Brew Cafe	Café	Coffee	100 Liberty St	open
Kfc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	357 W Morris St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		7995 State Route 54	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		25 E Steuben St	open
KW Graphix and Design	Bar		7194 State Route 415	open
Liberty Street Pub	Bar · Casual dining		7 Liberty St	open
Maybe Baby Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	7530 NY-54	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	398 W Morris St	open
Mimi K’s Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	17 Buell St	open
Motorsport Munchies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6698 Knight Settlement Rd	open
Pizza D	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	31 Liberty St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	357 W Morris	open
Ponderosa Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	382 N Morris St.	open
Restaurant 209	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	209 Liberty St	open
Rico's Pizza New York Style	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	371 W Morris St	open
Scoops & Blooms	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7152 NY-415	open
Sobriety Rise cafe	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	21 Pine St	open
Southern Tier Provisions	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	6683 State Route 415	open
Stephanie's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	14 W Steuben St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	322 W Washington St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7767 State Route 53	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	368 W. Morris St	open
Thach Onlline Shop	Quick service	Vegetarian		open
The Office Bar	Bar · Casual dining		17 Liberty St	open
Three Wishes Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	7200 NY-54	open
Tub Town Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		26 W Steuben St	open
Twin Kiss	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7652 State Route 415	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7748 State Route 53	open
Wooden Nickel	Bar · Casual dining		18 Liberty St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	26	22	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	28	22	9	10	3	5	NAICS1997
1999	30	23	10	10	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	31	23	9	11	3	5	NAICS1997
2001	28	20	9	9	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	28	21	9	9	3	5	NAICS1997
2003	30	24	11	10	3	5	NAICS2002
2004	27	21	10	8	3	5	NAICS2002
2005	30	24	11	10	3	5	NAICS2002
2006	29	23	10	8	4	5	NAICS2002
2007	30	23	13	7	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	28	22	11	8	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	30	24	12	8	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	29	23	12	7	3	4	NAICS2007
2011	30	24	12	7	4	4	NAICS2007
2012	29	25	12	8	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	30	26	13	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	27	23	11	8	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	10	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	24	21	8	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	30	26	9	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2018	27	23	9	11	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	28	24	9	12	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	26	22	7	11	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	28	23	6	10	7	3	NAICS2017
2022	25	21	5	11	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	22	5	12	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14810. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14856	2.4 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.