BMIE Market 14840

Steuben County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,425 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,061 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,792 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$825 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$245,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	58.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14840
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	42.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14840. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.9	57	40%	+22.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.9	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	71.2	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,425	48	40%	+19.4
Median household income (ACS)	84,792	68	40%	+27.1
Households (ACS)	1,179	52	20%	+10.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	66.0	7	25%	+1.7
Population (ACS)	2,425	48	20%	+9.7
Median household income (ACS)	84,792	68	20%	+13.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	30%	+19.7
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 20 · Bar 18 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Casual dining 7 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aroma Coffee Art Gallery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	60 Shethar St	open
Azure Hill Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8716 Gallagher Rd	open
Barrelhouse 6 Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		9558 Middle Rd	open
Birdseye Hollow Farm and Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		8398 Co Rd 96	open
Blue Heron Café Heron Hill Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Café · Bar	Coffee	9301 County Route 76	open
Brewer's Bagels	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8471 NY-54	open
Buckn Good Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		9581 Dug Rd	open
Bully Hill Vineyards Inc	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		Greyton H Taylor Memorial Dr	open
Burgers & Beer of Hammondsport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	41 Shether St	open
Crooked Lake Ice Cream Company	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	35 Shethar St	open
Deep Root Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		10391 Cross St	open
Divided Sky Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		9570 Middle Rd	open
Domaine Leseurre Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		13920 State Route 54	open
Doyle Vineyard Management	Winery / distillery / taproom		10223 Middle Rd	open
Dr. Konstantin Frank Wine Cellars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Winery / distillery / taproom		9749 Middle Rd	open
Finger Lakes Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8462 NY-54	open
Gold Seal Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		10959 W Lake Rd	open
HAfunland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8451 Gallagher Rd	open
Keuka Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8572 Briglin Rd	open
Keuka Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8471 NY-54	open
Keuka Eats LLC	Food truck	Mexican	8471 State Route 54	open
Keuka Lake Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8882 Hammondsport-South Pulteney Rd	open
Krooked Tusker Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		10303 Hammondsport-South Pulteney Rd	open
Krookid Leyk Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		14322 NY-54	open
Lakeside Restaurant & Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13780A W Lake Rd	open
Living Roots Finger Lakes	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8560 County Route 87	open
Lottery Hill Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service		8787 Ridge Rd	open
Maloney's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	57 Pulteney St	open
Pleasant Valley Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7979 State Route 54	open
Pleasant Valley Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		8260 Pleasant Valley Rd	open
Point of the Bluff Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		10489 Hammondsport-South Pulteney Rd	open
Port Side Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American		open
QKA Pronto!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	18 Water St	open
Ravines Wine Cellars & Agricolae Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		14630 State Route 54	open
Service Station FLX	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	43 Main St	open
Snug Harbor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9068A Snug Harbor Dr	open
Steuben Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		10286 Judson Rd	open
The Barnyard	Bar		8336 Pleasant Valley Rd	open
The Brewery of Broken Dreams	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8319 Pleasant Valley Rd	open
The Hidden Cork (formerly Over The Bridge Wine Bar)	Bar		54 Pulteney St	open
The Switzerland Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	14109 Keuka Village Rd	open
The Waterfront	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	12664 W Lake Rd	open
Timber Stone Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	70 Shethar St	open
Union Block Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	31 Shether St	open
Union Block Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	31 Shethar St	open
Village Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		30 Mechanic St	open
Weis Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		10014 Day Rd	open
Wise Guys of Hammondsport	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	90 Pulteney St	open
Wiseguys Pizzeria & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	90 Pulteney St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	9	7	—	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	7	—	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	11	9	—	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	8	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	10	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	10	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	9	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	9	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	17	16	11	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	10	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	10	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	8	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	16	9	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14840. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14893	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.