BMIE Market 14891

Schuyler County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,561 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±156 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,149 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,070 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,666 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$825 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$164,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,097 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14891
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+41.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 28–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14891. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.1	49	40%	+19.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	54.7	55	25%	+13.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,561	59	40%	+23.5
Median household income (ACS)	61,875	33	40%	+13.3
Households (ACS)	2,102	62	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	52.6	9	25%	+2.2
Population (ACS)	4,561	59	20%	+11.8
Median household income (ACS)	61,875	33	20%	+6.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	41.2	59	20%	+11.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (69)

By cuisine

American 13 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bar 22 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 9 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
29 NEAT	Bar		29 N Franklin St	open
301 Franklin Street Cafe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 N Franklin St	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	511 E 4th St	open
Art & Nancy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	204 9th St	open
Babes and Buds A Coffee Lounge & Boutique	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	103 3rd St	open
Baker & Buisch Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 W 4th St	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	418 N Franklin St	open
Bleachers Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		413 N Franklin St	open
Bull Pen North	Bar	Pizza	110 W 4th St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	211 S Franklin St	open
Castel Grisch Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3380 County Road 28	open
Central Sip	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15 N Franklin St	open
Coldwater Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	16 N Franklin St	open
Curly's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2780 NY-14	open
Decker & Fazzary Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		413 N Franklin St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	311 S. Franklin St	open
El Rancho Mexicano el rancho	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	401 E 4th St	open
Glen Dairy Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	433 S Franklin St	open
Glen Mountain Bakery & Market	Bakery	Bakery	200 N Franklin St	open
Graft Wine and Cider Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		204 N Franklin St	open
Great Escape Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	221 S Franklin St	open
Green Elephants Thai Vegan Restaurant ,Watkins Glen ,New York	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	507 N Franklin St	open
Heena Stores Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 N Franklin St	open
Holy Cow Meat Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	410 S Franklin St	open
Horseheads Brewing Seneca Lake	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Seneca Harbor	open
House of Hong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	108 N Franklin St	open
J.R. Dill Wine Bar	Bar		301 N Franklin St	open
Jerlando's Ristorante and Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	400 N Franklin St	open
Jilly's Off Grid	Bar		3500 CR-28	open
Kookalaroc's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	107 11th St	open
Lakeside Resort & 3812 Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3812 NY-14	open
Lakewood Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		4024 NY-14	open
Lucky Hare Brewing Bar and Grill Lucky Hare Brewing Hector	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		2 Seneca Hbr Dr	open
Lucky Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	800 N Franklin St	open
Maria's Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		509 N Franklin St	open
McDonald's	Quick service		515 E 4th St	open
Montage Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	3380 NY-14	open
Nichols Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American		open
Nickel's Pit BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	207 N Franklin St	open
Nicolas Nicolas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	207 N Franklin St	open
Oar House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	40 Fairgrounds Ln	open
Pangea Global Teahouse	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	221 N Franklin St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	410-412 S. Franklin St.	open
PriseBox BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2640 St. Rd, NY-14	open
Pudgie's Pizza, Pasta & Subs - Watkins Glen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	601 N Franklin St	open
Rooster Fish Brewing Tasting Room & Beer Garden	Brewery / taproom · Bar		111 N Franklin St	open
Roosterfish Pub	Casual dining · Bar		223 N Franklin St	open
Scuteri's Cannoli Connection	Bakery	Italian · Pizza · Bakery	409 E 4th St	open
Seneca Harbor Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3 N Franklin St	open
Seneca Harbor Wine Center	Bar		2 N Franklin St	open
Seneca Lake Wine Trail	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2 N Franklin St	open
Seneca Sunrise Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	806 N Decatur St	open
Sidron Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 N Franklin St	open
Specc's Chocolates and Gifts	Dessert	Dessert	304 N Franklin St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	800 N Franklin St	open
Sugar Mountain Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3296 Reading Rd	open
Thai Elephants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	133 E 4th St	open
The Tiki Bar on Seneca Lake	Bar · Casual dining		3425 Salt Point Rd	open
Tobey's Donut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast	137 E 4th St	open
Upstate Brewing Company FLX	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		17 N Franklin St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	515 E 4th St	open
Watkins Glen-Main	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1001 N Franklin St	open
Wine & Glass Tour Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 N Franklin St	open
Winner's Circle	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2400 State Route 414	open
Winners Circle Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2400 NY-414	open
World's Smallest Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	473 N Franklin St	open
Babcha's Pierogies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	309 N Franklin St	closed
Bv’s Corner Bar & Grill Inc.	Casual dining · Bar		401 E 4th St	closed
Garcia's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 E 4th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	19	17	9	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	18	16	7	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	6	6	4	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	8	5	4	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	7	7	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	8	6	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	19	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	7	6	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	18	8	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	20	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	22	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	23	20	7	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	24	21	8	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	21	8	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	27	23	10	9	4	3	NAICS2017
2018	28	24	11	8	5	3	NAICS2017
2019	30	24	12	6	6	4	NAICS2017
2020	31	25	12	7	6	4	NAICS2017
2021	34	25	13	6	6	4	NAICS2017
2022	33	26	13	6	7	3	NAICS2022
2023	31	24	13	5	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14891. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14878	5.0 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.