BMIE Market 14892

Tioga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,460 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,189 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,609 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$959 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$139,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	42.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14892
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14892. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.7	49	40%	+19.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.0	37	35%	+12.9
Market Momentum Score	19.6	20	25%	+4.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,703	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	54,043	20	40%	+8.1
Households (ACS)	3,460	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	51	25%	+12.7
Population (ACS)	7,703	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	54,043	20	20%	+4.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	50%	+10.2
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	-7.7	18	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1854 Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	367 Broad St	open
5 Acres Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	302 County Rd 60	open
Audrey B’s Sno-Go Co.	Food truck		146 Broad St	open
Ay Caramba	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	358 Broad St	open
Becky's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	310 Broad St	open
Broad Street Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	371 Broad St	open
Brown Pizza World Wide Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Garfield St	open
Burrito Boss	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	364 Broad St	open
Chemung Golf Course, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		398 County Road 60	open
Coaches Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	227 Broad St	open
Crafted Cup & Kitchen	Coffee shop	Coffee	441 Fulton St	open
Fassy’s Detailing	Bar · Quick service		31 Orange St	open
Garcia's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	358 Broad St	open
Hagen Pet Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Broad Street Ext, Waverly, NY 14892	open
Ho's Bar	Bar	Asian	44 Lincoln St	open
Hometown Heroes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee		open
Jolly Farmer Ice Cream Stand	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7 Elizabeth St	open
Kelleys Too	Bar		403 Broad St	open
New Hong Kong Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	326 Broad St	open
Pudgie's Pizza Pasta & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1 Garfield St	open
Railhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		366 Broad St	open
Reese’s Hideaway	Casual dining · Bar	American	579 Broad St	open
Soprano's Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	607 Cayuta Ave	open
Stars and Stripes	Bar · Casual dining		317 Broad St	open
Strike Shack Tiki Bar	Bar · Casual dining		13 N Chemung St	open
The Grumpy Grizzly	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	241 Broad St	open
The Legacy Lounge	Bar		439 Waverly St	open
The Perfect Blend	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	337 Broad St	open
The Red Door Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	359 Broad St	open
Tomasso's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	398 County Rd 60	open
Towne Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	601	open
Viking Cock Mead	Brewery / taproom		330 Strops Rd	open
Vinny’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	150 Broad St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	11	6	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	12	8	2	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	10	7	1	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	18	12	10	1	1	5	NAICS1997
2001	18	13	9	2	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	19	14	9	4	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	17	13	6	4	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	14	10	6	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	13	10	5	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	8	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	6	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	16	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	15	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14892. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14825	4.8 mi	1	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.