BMIE Market 15009

Beaver County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,834 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,082 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,294 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,046 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$261,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,890 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15009
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+27.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+117.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 35–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15009. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.3	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.6	57	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	38.2	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,565	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	88,294	72	40%	+28.7
Households (ACS)	6,834	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.1	56	35%	+19.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.8	29	25%	+7.2
Population (ACS)	15,565	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	88,294	72	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.1	23	50%	+11.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.1	56	30%	+16.8
20-year restaurant growth	27.6	51	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (71)

By cuisine

American 17 · Sandwiches 10 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 6 · Italian 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bar 12 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 10 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1810 Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	234 Bridge St	open
Beaver Bagel Co.	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	208 Bridge St	open
Beaver Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	458 3rd St	open
Beaver Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	568 3rd St	open
Bert's Wooden Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers · BBQ	308 Leopard Ln	open
Biba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · European	406 3rd St	open
Bigham Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1420 Riverside Dr	open
Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe- Rochester, Vanport, Moon Twp.	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	224 State Ave	open
Bruster Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated)		730 Mulberry St	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1515 Riverside Dr	open
BW's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	4790 Tuscarawas Rd	open
Cafe Kolache	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	402 3rd St	open
Carol's Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	701 Riverside Dr	open
China Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4955 Tuscarawas Rd	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	498 3rd St	open
Coach Light Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2750 Tuscarawas Rd	open
Coffee Buzz	Coffee shop	Coffee	4969 Tusca Plaza	open
Crave Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	431 3rd St	open
Crazy Mocha	Café	Coffee	1000 Dutch Ridge Rd	open
Curbside Cocina	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	618 Market St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1115 3rd St	open
Dixie's Deli & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1635 DUTCH RIDGE Rd	open
Don's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	285 College Ave	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	464 3rd St	open
Ft McIntosh Club	Bar		374 College Ave	open
Goodies2Go by KBakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	664 3rd St	open
Grandpa Joe's Candy Shop Grandpa Joe's Candy Shop	Dessert	Dessert	690 3rd St	open
Grandpaps Bar	Bar		565 Neville Rd	open
Hash N Smash	Casual dining	American	464 3rd St	open
Herban Touch Juice Lab	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	459 3rd St	open
Jeffries Landing	Bar		1440 Riverside Dr	open
Jerry's Curb Service	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1521 Riverside Dr	open
Kelly's Riverside Saloon	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1458 Riverside Dr	open
Kretchmar's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	664 3rd St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1701 3rd St	open
Mario's 410 Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	410 Wolfe Ln	open
Mario's Dockside Grille	Casual dining · Bar		1440 Riverside Dr	open
Mario's Woodfired Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	594 3rd St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	190 State St	open
Oak Arbor Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	500 Market St	open
Papa Wood BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	101 Grandvue Dr	open
Pawmazing Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	300 Neville Rd	open
Peace, Love, And Little Donuts	Bakery	Bakery	605 3rd St	open
Philly Originals - Beaver	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	400 3rd St	open
Pier 19	Casual dining · Bar		110 Bridge St	open
Pit Stop	Casual dining	American	701 Riverside Dr	open
Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	606 3rd St	open
Robert's Roadside Inn	Casual dining · Bar	American	1020 Sharon Rd	open
Soup-Herb Sproutz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	570 3rd St	open
Spanky D's Restaurant and Catering Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1445 Market St	open
Stapatt Incorporated	Restaurant (service type not stated)		606 3rd St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	596 3rd St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4985 Tuscarawas Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1701 3rd St Ste 1	open
Sweet Offering	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	116 Little Beaver Dr	open
Taqueria el vaquero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	431 3rd St	open
The Grumpy Beaver Pub	Bar · Casual dining		234 Bridge St	open
The Market On Bridge Street	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Quick service	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	228 Bridge St	open
The Standard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1462 Riverside Dr	open
Thursdays	Bar		410 Wolfe Ln	open
Towne Square Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	518 3rd St	open
Trish's Truffles & Sweet Treats	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Dessert · Sandwiches	Nicholas Dr	open
Tusca's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4975 Tuscarawas Rd	open
Vic's Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	212 Bridge St	open
Waffles Incaffeinated Waffles, INCaffeinated	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	453 3rd St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1635 Third Street	open
Witch Flavor?	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	588 3rd St	open
Wooden Angel Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	308 Leopard Ln	open
Yama Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	538 3rd St	open
Beauco Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 College Ave	closed
Little Meleo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1420 Riverside Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	27	24	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	28	25	12	12	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	27	24	10	13	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	29	25	10	14	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	25	20	7	12	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	24	21	9	11	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	35	29	13	13	3	4	NAICS2002
2004	34	28	12	13	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	31	25	10	13	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	32	27	9	12	6	4	NAICS2002
2007	31	26	9	11	5	4	NAICS2002
2008	33	27	8	13	5	5	NAICS2007
2009	33	27	8	13	5	4	NAICS2007
2010	38	31	11	13	5	5	NAICS2007
2011	38	30	12	11	6	5	NAICS2007
2012	40	34	16	13	5	3	NAICS2012
2013	39	33	13	13	7	3	NAICS2012
2014	40	33	13	14	6	3	NAICS2012
2015	41	34	14	14	6	3	NAICS2012
2016	43	37	15	15	7	3	NAICS2012
2017	45	37	14	16	7	3	NAICS2017
2018	47	39	14	18	7	3	NAICS2017
2019	45	36	13	17	6	3	NAICS2017
2020	47	37	14	17	6	3	NAICS2017
2021	46	37	15	16	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	41	33	15	13	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	46	37	15	14	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15009. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15061	3.8 mi	41	2023
15052	3.9 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.