BMIE Market 15024

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,029 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,924 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,355 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$239,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15024
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-45.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.41) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	8 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15024. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.41, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.7	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.2	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	7.6	8	25%	+1.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,325	70	40%	+27.9
Median household income (ACS)	79,647	62	40%	+24.7
Households (ACS)	3,886	71	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.4	87	25%	+21.6
Population (ACS)	9,325	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	79,647	62	20%	+12.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 8 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-40	7	50%	+3.5
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-45.5	7	20%	+1.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 4 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 14 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allegheny 6 Pack	Bar		1301 Pittsburgh St	open
American Natural Harmar American Natural	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	2 Rich Hill Rd	open
Bhangal	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1003 Freeport Rd	open
Big Dogs	Bar		1435 Freeport Rd	open
Blue Haven Lounge	Bar		492 Nixon Rd	open
Club Tropicana	Bar		205 S Highland Ave	open
Clyde & Patti's Lounge	Bar		901 Freeport Rd	open
Elwood's Pub	Bar		163 Little Deer Creek Rd	open
Emmerling Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	932 PA-910	open
Fat Cat's Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1401 Freeport Rd	open
Full Circle Distributors	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1200 Watercrest Way	open
Futules' Harmar House	Bar			open
J.p. Restaurants, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		928 Route 910	open
Latte Lane Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1320 Pittsburgh St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1309 Pittsburgh St	open
Loughlins Pub	Bar		2373 Saxonburg Blvd	open
PISA Pub & Cafe	Bar · Café	Coffee	22 Rich Hill Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1300 Pittsburgh St	open
Pizza Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	928 PA-910	open
Redland Brick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13 Rich Hill Rd	open
Ron and Frank's Drink Mixes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1011 Russellton Rd	open
Siciliano's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	86 E Union Rd	open
Stover & Company	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1101 Russellton Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1301 Pittsburgh St	open
Tailgaters	Casual dining · Bar	American	1101 Freeport Rd	open
The Acme Club	Bar		230 Herron Ave	open
The Garage & Local Tap House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		284 E Union Rd	open
Wicked Ribs N'at	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	919 Freeport Rd	open
Wicked Witches Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		919 Freeport Rd	open
World Cup Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22 Adams Dr	open
Bubble's Sweets & Treats, Llc	Bakery	Bakery	1505 Pittsburgh St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	14	9	8	1	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	10	9	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	16	10	9	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	15	9	8	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	15	10	10	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	18	11	9	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	9	8	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	17	10	8	2	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	21	13	10	3	—	6	NAICS2002
2007	19	10	6	4	—	8	NAICS2002
2008	19	10	7	3	—	8	NAICS2007
2009	20	11	7	3	1	8	NAICS2007
2010	21	13	10	2	1	7	NAICS2007
2011	20	12	9	2	1	7	NAICS2007
2012	20	12	8	3	1	7	NAICS2012
2013	17	9	5	3	1	7	NAICS2012
2014	18	9	5	3	1	7	NAICS2012
2015	20	11	5	5	1	7	NAICS2012
2016	20	11	6	4	1	7	NAICS2012
2017	18	9	4	4	—	7	NAICS2017
2018	19	10	4	5	—	7	NAICS2017
2019	18	9	4	4	—	7	NAICS2017
2020	16	7	3	3	—	7	NAICS2017
2021	15	8	3	4	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	16	9	3	5	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	13	6	3	—	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15024. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15075	1.1 mi	—
15051	1.4 mi	1	2016
15076	1.8 mi	7	2023
15049	3.1 mi	1	2005
15030	3.4 mi	1	2016
15238	3.7 mi	63	2023
15006	3.7 mi	1	2016
15084	3.8 mi	21	2023
15144	4.3 mi	10	2023
15139	4.3 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.