BMIE Market 15131

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,209 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,240 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,044 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,744 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$997 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$162,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15131
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+36.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.41) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15131. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.41, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.6	55	40%	+21.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.9	36	35%	+12.6
Market Momentum Score	20.8	21	25%	+5.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,209	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	61,744	33	40%	+13.1
Households (ACS)	4,166	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.3	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	8,209	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	61,744	33	20%	+6.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.8	17	50%	+8.7
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	7.1	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

Pizza 14 · Italian 6 · American 3 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Greek 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · European 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 8 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service		2831 Jacks Run Rd	open
Big Daddy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1624 Lincoln Way	open
Big Shot Bob’s House of Wings	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	1955 Lincoln Way	open
Bull River Taco Co. Bull River Taco White Oak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2650 Lincoln Way	open
Buster's Pizza & Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2650 Lincoln Way	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2001 Lincoln Way	open
City Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1955 Lincoln Way	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1990 Lincoln Way	open
Dorothy's Candies	Dessert	Dessert	1228 Long Run Rd	open
Fellinis Pizzeria Fellinis Pizzeria - White Oak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1624 Lincoln Way	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1624 Lincoln Way	open
Jac's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1975 Lincoln Way	open
Jazton Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1955 Lincoln Way	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1985 Lincoln Way	open
Luciano's Italian Brick Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1212 Long Run Rd	open
Mama Pepino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2417 Oneil Blvd	open
My Big Fat Greek Gyro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	2001 Lincoln Way	open
Nch Hospitality, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1180 Long Run Rd	open
New York/New York	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2001 Lincoln Way Ste 10	open
Nigro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1955 Lincoln Way	open
Palmer's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2001 Lincoln Way	open
Patti's la Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	2812 State St	open
Patti's Pasticceria	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1501 Lincoln Way	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1235 Long Run Rd Allegheny	open
Plaza Azteca White Oak Plaza Azteca, Methuen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3017 Jacks Run Rd	open
Rita's Italian Ice Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Rainbow Village Shopping Center, 1985 Lincoln Way	open
Rodos Greek Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1531 Lincoln Way	open
Speedy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1200 Long Run Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1985 Lincoln Way	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2802 Jacks Run Rd	open
The Rose Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2811 Lincoln Way	open
Twin Oaks Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1985 Lincoln Way	open
Uncle June's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1949 Lincoln Way	open
Up In Smoke Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	1955 Lincoln Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2805 Jacks Run Road	open
Wsdq Management, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1990 Lincoln Way	open
Kings Country Shoppes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1180 Long Run Rd Ste 2	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	13	5	7	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	7	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	5	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	5	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	6	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	5	13	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	4	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	4	12	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	5	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	21	19	7	12	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	21	18	6	12	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	21	19	4	13	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	4	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	5	13	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	19	17	4	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	20	18	4	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	17	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	—	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	19	—	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	—	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	16	—	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	—	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15131. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15047	1.8 mi	1	2001
15132	2.5 mi	19	2023
15137	2.6 mi	24	2023
15135	2.8 mi	1	2016
15028	3.0 mi	—
15035	3.2 mi	3	2016
15615	3.6 mi	—
15110	3.7 mi	4	2023
15148	3.8 mi	4	2023
15133	3.8 mi	3	2019
15018	4.0 mi	1	2016
15647	4.0 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.