BMIE Market 15207

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±791 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,839 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,818 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,858 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,037 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$150,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,630 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15207
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15207. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.8	54	40%	+21.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.1	64	35%	+22.4
Market Momentum Score	72.2	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,961	72	40%	+28.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,427	25	40%	+10.2
Households (ACS)	4,839	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.0	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	10,961	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	57,427	25	20%	+5.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	83.3	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Breakfast 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 10 · Brewery / taproom 7 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1:11 Juice Bar - Hazelwood Juice Stand	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls	4901 Second Ave	open
Abstract Realm Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		5007 Lytle St	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	5204 Interboro Ave	open
Big Jim's Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	201 Saline St	open
Capezzuto's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	422 Greenfield Ave	open
Comfort And Spice Pgh	Casual dining · Bar	American	5011 Lytle St	open
Community Coffee House - Greenfield	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3929 Coleman St	open
Copper Kettle Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		557 Greenfield Ave	open
Dos Reyes Pgh	Food truck	Mexican	5203 Interboro Ave	open
Fat Rai's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5009 2nd Ave	open
Hays Moose	Bar	Burgers	808 Mifflin Rd	open
Hazel Grove Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4609 Irvine St	open
Hazelwood Brew House	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5007 Lytle St	open
Hazelwood Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5017 Second Ave	open
Hough's Taproom & Brewpub	Brewery / taproom		563 Greenfield Ave	open
Italian Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5037 2nd Ave	open
La Gourmandine Bakery La Gourmandine Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	5013 Second Ave	open
Lytle Cafe	Café · Bar	Coffee	5040 Lytle St	open
Monday's Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		563 Greenfield Ave	open
Negril Curbside	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5282 2ND Ave	open
New France Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5009 Lytle St	open
Pittsburgh Fish & Chicken (2nd Avenue)	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5009 2nd Ave	open
Porked Lincoln Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5203 Interboro Ave	open
Rialto Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	623 Greenfield Ave	open
Rock Til Morning Social Club & Lounge	Bar		271 Baldwin Rd	open
S&B Social and Entertainment Lounge	Bar		5007 2nd Ave	open
Shop N Go	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	6001 Buttermilk Hollow Rd	open
Smashed 'N Fried	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	563 Greenfield Ave	open
Staghorn Garden Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	517 Greenfield Ave	open
The Pizza Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1315 Mifflin Rd #3	open
The Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5384 Mifflin Rd	open
The Woods House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		4604 Monongahela St	open
Three Rivers Food Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 Greenfield Ave	open
Treat Yourself Sweets LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Greenfield section of Pittsburgh	open
Zano's Pub House	Bar		3806 Acorn St	open
C&d’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4901 2nd Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	1	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	7	1	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	10	2	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	13	5	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	11	4	3	1	—	7	NAICS1997
1999	11	4	3	1	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	11	5	3	2	—	6	NAICS1997
2001	12	4	2	2	—	8	NAICS1997
2002	12	5	2	3	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	11	6	1	5	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	11	7	1	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	12	7	2	5	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	15	8	2	5	1	7	NAICS2002
2007	14	9	2	6	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	13	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	8	3	5	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	13	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	13	9	2	5	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	13	9	2	5	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	14	9	—	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	15	10	3	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	13	8	3	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	13	8	—	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	14	8	—	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	16	9	—	5	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	17	11	—	6	3	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15207. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15120	1.5 mi	44	2023
15217	2.3 mi	65	2023
15227	2.5 mi	31	2023
15210	2.7 mi	24	2023
15203	2.8 mi	78	2023
15218	2.9 mi	24	2023
15213	2.9 mi	114	2023
15260	3.2 mi	3	2023
15122	3.3 mi	31	2023
15123	3.5 mi	6	2016
15232	3.7 mi	31	2023
15104	3.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.