BMIE Market 15211

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±717 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,081 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,489 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,758 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,461 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,460 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$219,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15211
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+31.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15211. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.9	69	40%	+27.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.3	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	65.5	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,728	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	79,758	62	40%	+24.7
Households (ACS)	6,041	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.6	38	25%	+9.6
Population (ACS)	10,728	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	79,758	62	20%	+12.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5	61	50%	+30.7
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 9 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Casual dining 16 · Bar 13 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Altius	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1230 Grandview Ave	open
Bella Vista Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1204 Grandview Ave	open
Bigham Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		321 Bigham St	open
Cafe Cravings Gourmet Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	402 Bigham St	open
Cafe Nikos	Casual dining · Bar		212 Shiloh St	open
Coughlin's Law Kitchen and Ale House	Casual dining · Bar	American	10 Virginia Ave	open
DiFiores Ice Cream Delite	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	120 Shiloh St	open
Eggs & Moore	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	221 Shiloh St	open
Georgetowne Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1230 Grandview Ave	open
Gordo's Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	131 Shiloh St	open
Grand Brew	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	122 Shiloh St	open
Grandview Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	225 Shiloh St	open
Hot Rod Cafe	Casual dining · Bar		205 Boggs Ave	open
Isabela On Grandview	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1318 Grandview Ave	open
J & J's Family Restaurant and Catering	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	300 Shiloh St	open
Joe Cestone's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	200 Virginia Ave	open
Kavsar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · German / Eastern European	16 Southern Ave	open
La Tavola Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1 Boggs Ave	open
Micro Diner	Casual dining	American	221 Shiloh St	open
Mike Roman Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1200 Grandview Ave	open
Monterey Bay Fish Grotto Monterey Bay Fish Grotto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1411 Grandview Ave	open
Mt. Washington, PA - Fox's Pizza Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	6 Bailey Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15211	open
Natural Casings Hot Dog Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	229 Kearsarge St	open
Nothingman	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	201 Shiloh St	open
OTARU Japanese Restaurant Pittsburgh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1200 Grandview Ave	open
Raines Hauling and Trucking	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1203 Grandview Ave	open
Satalio's	Bar		27 Bailey Ave	open
Scarpaci's	Bar · Casual dining		307 Shiloh St	open
Sesame Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Thai · Asian	202 Shiloh St	open
Shiloh Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	123 Shiloh St	open
Sloppy Joe's	Casual dining · Bar	American	217 Shiloh St	open
South Hills Republican Club	Bar		221 Sweetbriar St	open
Steel Mill Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		1225 Grandview Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	219 Shiloh St	open
Tacos and Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10 Virginia Ave	open
The Grandview Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		1212 Grandview Ave	open
The Summit	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		200 Shiloh St	open
Vincent's Pizza Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	404 Bigham St	open
Metro Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 Shiloh St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	22	15	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	22	17	14	3	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	22	17	15	2	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	23	17	14	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	25	19	16	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	24	19	14	5	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	12	3	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	24	17	14	3	—	6	NAICS2002
2005	20	13	9	4	—	6	NAICS2002
2006	23	16	12	4	—	6	NAICS2002
2007	20	14	12	2	—	6	NAICS2002
2008	21	15	13	2	—	6	NAICS2007
2009	23	17	14	3	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	26	18	14	4	—	8	NAICS2007
2011	26	19	15	4	—	7	NAICS2007
2012	29	22	19	3	—	6	NAICS2012
2013	21	15	12	3	—	6	NAICS2012
2014	23	16	12	3	1	6	NAICS2012
2015	26	19	16	3	—	6	NAICS2012
2016	25	19	16	3	—	5	NAICS2012
2017	26	20	17	3	—	5	NAICS2017
2018	26	20	18	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	26	20	18	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	25	20	18	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	23	18	16	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	25	20	17	—	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	26	21	18	—	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15211. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15282	1.4 mi	1	2003
15219	1.9 mi	56	2023
15222	1.9 mi	154	2023
15290	1.9 mi	—
15220	1.9 mi	38	2023
15203	2.1 mi	78	2023
15216	2.2 mi	45	2023
15212	2.2 mi	54	2023
15233	2.3 mi	12	2023
15210	2.3 mi	24	2023
15226	2.4 mi	16	2023
15213	2.7 mi	114	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.