BMIE Market 15425

Fayette County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±851 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,138 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,270 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,885 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,160 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,884 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$734 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$145,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15425
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+29.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 35–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15425. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.7	56	40%	+22.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.6	53	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	42.9	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,545	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	53,160	19	40%	+7.6
Households (ACS)	8,138	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.0	37	25%	+9.3
Population (ACS)	17,545	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	53,160	19	20%	+3.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.8	25	50%	+12.3
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	29.6	52	20%	+10.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

Pizza 13 · American 12 · Coffee 9 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Bar 18 · Quick service 11 · Coffee shop 9 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arch Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	615 N Pittsburgh St	open
Back To The 80's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	103 Memorial Blvd	open
Bali Brothers Kitchen 3	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	502 W Crawford Ave	open
Bali Moon Sushi and Ramen Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	512 W Crawford Ave	open
Bistro 37	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1529 S Pittsburgh St	open
Black Dog Pizza Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	401 Ridge Blvd	open
Bud Murphy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	718 McCormick Ave	open
Burger King	Quick service		1984 University Dr	open
Cafe Carnegie	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	299 S Pittsburgh St	open
Clubhouse Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	130 W Crawford Ave	open
Coffee At Crawford	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	125 N 7th St	open
Coffee on Crawford	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	162 E Crawford Ave	open
Cole B's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		605 W Crawford Ave	open
Colebrook Chocolate Company	Dessert	Dessert	830 Vanderbilt Rd	open
Connellsville Beer Warehouse	Bar		133 Memorial Blvd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	805 E Crawford Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	511 N Pittsburgh St	open
Double Dragon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	142 N Pittsburgh St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	628 Highland Ave	open
Ed's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1607 Morrell Ave	open
El Canelo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	130 W Crawford Ave	open
Fairview Aid Society	Bar		285 E Fairview Ave	open
Fay West Family Practice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2618 Memorial Blvd	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	121 Pittsburgh St	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	133 Memorial Blvd	open
Greenhouse Winery Connellsville	Winery / distillery / taproom		316 W Crawford Ave	open
Grill 1905	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	141 W South St	open
Jamieson's Place	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	1952 University Drive	open
Jane And James	Bakery	Bakery	917 W Crawford Ave	open
Kds Controls Services Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 N 6th St	open
Keedy's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	512 W Crawford Ave	open
Kfc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1306 Memorial Blvd	open
Kickstand Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	507 W Crawford Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	220 Memorial Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1950 University Dr	open
Lynn's Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		205 W Vine St	open
Marlene's Corner Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		148 S Arch St	open
Mc Gee's Dump	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1508 E Crawford Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	705 Memorial Blvd	open
Mile Marker	Bar		502 W Crawford Ave	open
Nancys Tea Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		428 N Pittsburgh St	open
New Haven Trailside Treats	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	415 W Crawford Ave	open
New York Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	816 Vanderbilt Rd	open
O'Donnell's Pub	Bar		128 S Arch St	open
Olde World Coffee & Gelato	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	314 W Crawford Ave	open
Paint Room Enterprise Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		118 W Apple St	open
Pappy's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · American	1915 W Crawford Ave	open
Pechin Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1952 University Dr	open
Perk and Play Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	1040 Morrell Ave	open
Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1046 Morrell Ave	open
Pizza Louie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1222 E Crawford Ave	open
Pizza Louie’s Connellsville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1102 S Arch St	open
Plaza Cancun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	628 Highland Ave	open
Riser's Pub	Bar		1508 E Crawford Ave	open
Showboat	Bar		318 Pittsburgh St	open
Sidehamers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		123 W Apple St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1402 Memorial Blvd #A	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1450 Morrell Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1410 Morrell Ave	open
The Italian Oven Connellsville	Restaurant (service type not stated)		623 Highland Ave	open
The Locker Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		440 Pleasant Valley Rd	open
The Plot Twist Co.	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	121 E Orchard Alley	open
The Press Box Bar & Grill	Bar		W Crawford Ave, Connellsville, PA 15425, United States	open
The Walk	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Food truck	Sandwiches · American · Filipino	121 W Apple St	open
The Willow Bar	Bar		807 Ridge Blvd	open
Tipsy Pig	Bar · Casual dining		647 Vanderbilt Rd	open
Top Sales Summerr	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2250 Industrial Ln	open
Trippy Hippie Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		223 N 3rd St	open
Valley Dairy Restaurant	Casual dining	American	133 N 8th St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1017 W. Crawford Ave	open
Whistle Stop Bar And Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		128 S Arch St	open
Willow Inn	Bar		647 Vanderbilt Rd	open
York Bar	Bar		403 York Ave	open
Yough Casey Club	Bar		103 W Blake Ave	open
Yough River Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1030 S Arch St	open
Youghiogheny Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	259 N 6th St	open
Zia Maria Bakery & Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	1 Zia Maria Way	open
Oven5 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		623 Highland Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	39	30	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	36	29	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	41	31	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	41	32	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	42	34	14	14	6	8	NAICS1997
1999	43	34	16	13	5	9	NAICS1997
2000	38	30	14	11	5	8	NAICS1997
2001	40	31	15	12	4	9	NAICS1997
2002	42	31	15	13	3	10	NAICS1997
2003	40	27	13	13	1	12	NAICS2002
2004	37	25	12	12	1	11	NAICS2002
2005	35	23	11	12	—	11	NAICS2002
2006	37	24	11	13	—	12	NAICS2002
2007	39	28	14	14	—	10	NAICS2002
2008	37	26	12	14	—	10	NAICS2007
2009	37	26	13	13	—	10	NAICS2007
2010	41	30	15	14	1	10	NAICS2007
2011	38	27	10	16	1	10	NAICS2007
2012	36	27	12	14	1	9	NAICS2012
2013	37	28	12	14	2	9	NAICS2012
2014	41	31	13	16	2	9	NAICS2012
2015	40	33	13	17	3	6	NAICS2012
2016	44	36	14	19	3	6	NAICS2012
2017	41	32	14	16	—	7	NAICS2017
2018	45	36	15	18	3	7	NAICS2017
2019	41	34	13	18	3	5	NAICS2017
2020	41	34	13	20	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	43	35	11	22	—	6	NAICS2017
2022	42	35	11	22	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	42	35	14	19	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15425. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15631	4.6 mi	1	1998
15490	4.8 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.