BMIE Market 15537

Bedford County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±433 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±209 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,952 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,801 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$835 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$197,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	112.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15537
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15537. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.5	55	40%	+21.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.8	51	35%	+17.8
Market Momentum Score	59.4	59	25%	+14.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,083	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	62,538	34	40%	+13.8
Households (ACS)	3,378	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.9	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	8,083	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	62,538	34	20%	+6.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	60	92	50%	+46.2
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurants A&W Restaurants	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Burgers · American	10071 Lincoln Hwy	open
Best Way Pizza - Everett Best Way Pizza Altoona	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	20 S Hopewell St	open
Black Valley Provender	Café · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10 E Main St	open
Brite Spot Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	151 E 1st Ave	open
Brite Spot Sub & Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1102 Raystown Rd	open
Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13107 Lincoln Hwy	open
Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13107 Lincoln Hwy	open
Champs Chicken Champs Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	10071 Lincoln Hwy	open
Champs Chicken Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13107 Lincoln Hwy	open
Chiggy's Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11438 Lincoln Hwy	open
Dragon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	26 Bedford Square Plaza	open
Everett Original Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	151 E Main St	open
Fairways Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	134 Rivers Bend Dr	open
Golden Grace Acres	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery	2009 Raystown Rd	open
Greenawalt’s Goodies	Bakery	Bakery	1512 Lower Snake Spring Rd	open
Kelly's Scenic View Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	504 E Main St	open
Kountry Kettle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	1841 Raystown Rd	open
Mandy Jo's Country Corral	Casual dining	American	126 Raystown Rd	open
Marteen's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	95 Bedford Square Plz	open
Mrs. Baker’s Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	333 Lutzville Rd	open
Original Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	30 Bedford Sq	open
Rainbow Restaurant	Bar		901 N Spring St	open
Sno-Oasis	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	220 Sponsler Rd	open
The Igloo	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	462 E Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	11	7	4	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	14	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	10	7	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	8	3	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15537. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.