BMIE Market 15613

Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,854 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±759 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,933 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,138 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,988 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±87 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$178,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15613
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15613. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.9	65	40%	+26.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.3	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	68.1	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,854	74	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	71,988	50	40%	+20.1
Households (ACS)	5,368	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	35%	+18.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	12,854	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	71,988	50	20%	+10.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	30%	+15.8
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 8 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barber Food Service LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop		319 S Pennsylvania Ave	open
Bear Roots	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	4573 PA-66	open
Brennan's Pub	Bar		3257 Balsiger Rd	open
Central Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	204 N Warren Ave	open
Chambers	Casual dining · Bar	American	223 1st St	open
Ciarletta's Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1014 Blueberry Dr	open
Cool Water Saloon	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1359 PA-56	open
Creekside Diner, inc.	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4907 State Route 66	open
Flavio's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	212 N Warren Ave	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	125 North Plz	open
Indigo Market and Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2107 River Rd	open
Le Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	4522 State Route 66	open
Oklahoma Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1544 Hancock Ave	open
Orchard Hills Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1011 1st St	open
Patrick's Pub	Bar		205 1st St	open
Prime Time Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Steakhouse	4123 PA-66	open
Rockhoppers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	203 Kiski Ave	open
Rocky's Roadhouse	Casual dining · Bar			open
Route 66 BBQ & Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Pizza · American	4903 PA-66	open
Stucky's Ice Cream Shoppe & Grill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4161 PA-66	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	102 Beaver Run Rd	open
The Coffin Bean & Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	310 Clifford Ave	open
The Goatlocker Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1513 Hancock Ave	open
The Halapin Hughes Commune	Bar		10 Donna Dr	open
The Sandtrap Café	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	151 Elks Lodge Rd	open
Tom Watt The Buffet Man	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		200 Dolores Dr	open
Walker Family Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1553 Hancock Ave	open
Weng's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	220 N Warren Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	211 1st St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	24	16	11	4	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	20	13	10	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2000	19	13	10	2	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	19	12	9	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	18	12	9	3	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	16	8	5	3	—	6	NAICS2002
2004	16	9	5	3	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	16	10	6	4	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	15	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	15	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	6	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	13	7	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	16	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	17	12	7	5	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	16	12	6	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	16	11	4	7	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	16	12	5	7	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	16	12	5	7	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	16	11	4	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2018	16	11	4	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	15	10	4	6	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	17	12	5	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	16	12	6	6	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	17	13	6	7	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15613. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15673	3.3 mi	4	2021
15629	3.5 mi	—
15680	3.9 mi	1	1996

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.