BMIE Market 15690

Armstrong County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±557 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,078 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,513 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,776 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$806 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$111,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,007 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15690
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15690. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.7	51	40%	+20.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.9	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	66.9	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,985	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	55,457	22	40%	+8.9
Households (ACS)	3,872	71	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.2	63	25%	+15.9
Population (ACS)	8,985	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	55,457	22	20%	+4.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 8 · Dessert 6 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 8 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A J's Restaurant & Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	123 Washington Ave	open
Allusion Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		143 Grant Ave	open
Anna's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	118 Carolina St	open
Blue Bunny Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	100 Washington Ave	open
Carino's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	133 Grant Ave	open
Cypress Grille BBQ	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	155 Sherman Ave	open
Dommy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1100 Hancock Ave	open
Festa Italiana di Vandergrift	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	Kennedy Park	open
G & G Restaurant	Casual dining	American	149 Columbia Ave	open
Grant Avenue Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	139 Grant Ave	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	121 Grant Ave	open
Hancock Avenue Inn	Casual dining · Bar		614 Hancock Ave	open
Hot Ash Cold Cuts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 Hancock Ave	open
Ianni's of Vandergrift Ianni's New Derry / Babe's	Bar	Pizza · Italian	133 Grant Ave	open
Kiski River Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2847 River Rd	open
Meetheads	Casual dining · Bar	American	819 La Belle Vue Rd	open
Moonlight Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1011 La Belle Vue Rd	open
Nikis Quick Six	Casual dining · Bar	American	1024 1st St	open
Njh Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1024 1st St	open
Patty Kiebler's Cakes and Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1004 Cooper St	open
Peet's Coffee and Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	523 Franklin Ave	open
River Road Six Paks-Sandwiches	Bar	Sandwiches	2274 River Rd	open
Scoops on Jackson	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	411 Jackson Ave	open
Simply Paula's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	175 Columbia Ave	open
Stoney's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 Washington Ave	open
Sugared Lace Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	134 Washington Ave	open
Sweetlane Chocolate Shop	Dessert	Dessert	113 Grant Ave	open
Truk-In BBQ	Food truck	BBQ · American	100 Washington Ave Sherman Ave, Lincoln, 101 Washington Ave	open
Vandergrift, PA - Fox's Pizza Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	182 Lincoln Street, Vandergrift, PA 15690	open
VC Rolled Ice Cream & Catering	Dessert · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts	109 Blair Dr	open
Vista Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		182 Lincoln Ave	open
Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2260 River Rd	open
Wooden Door Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		101 Custer Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	15	10	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	14	10	7	3	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	11	7	3	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	18	13	8	3	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	15	11	7	3	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	14	11	7	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	9	7	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	14	9	7	2	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	13	8	6	2	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	10	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	8	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	9	6	3	—	5	NAICS2007
2012	16	10	6	4	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	14	9	6	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	15	11	6	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	13	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	14	9	5	3	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	12	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	14	9	5	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	13	9	5	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	8	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	13	9	6	—	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15690. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15641	2.2 mi	—
15629	3.1 mi	—
15673	3.3 mi	4	2021
15656	3.6 mi	21	2023
15682	4.9 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.