BMIE Market 15748

Indiana County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,343 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±650 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,060 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,144 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,474 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,788 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$818 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$153,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,334 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	72.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15748
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2017 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2010–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15748. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2010–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.7	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.6	58	35%	+20.2
Market Momentum Score	58.6	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,343	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	70,474	48	40%	+19.1
Households (ACS)	2,740	66	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.5	90	25%	+22.5
Population (ACS)	7,343	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	70,474	48	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 5 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alba's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	221 S Main St	open
Coal Run Craft, Inc.	Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	2382 Coal Run Rd	open
Colleen’s Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		38 S Main St	open
Cookies By Christina, LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	31 Chestnut Alley	open
Coy's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2845 PA-56	open
Disobedient Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		30 S Main St	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	41 S Main St	open
Graceton-Coral Sportsmans Club	Bar		1904 Neal Rd	open
Honey Badger’s Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery		open
Mavericks	Casual dining · Bar		108 Greenville Rd	open
Obsessions Coffee Roastery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	109 S Main St	open
panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2350 Route 119 Highway S	open
Sanso's Italian Deli Pizzeria	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza		open
Serrianni's Pizzeria McIntyre, Pa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2987 McIntyre Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2350 Route 119 Highway S	open
The Lybarger Estates	Bar		195 Mazza St	open
The Rail House Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9827 HWY 286 W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	10	5	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	11	6	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	9	5	2	3	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	1	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	8	5	—	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	8	5	—	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	9	4	1	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	8	4	1	3	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	11	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	10	6	2	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	8	5	2	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	7	4	1	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	6	3	1	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	7	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	6	3	1	2	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	6	3	—	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	—	—	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	6	3	—	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	8	4	—	3	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	8	4	—	4	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15748. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15720	1.4 mi	—
15754	4.2 mi	—
15920	4.3 mi	1	2011
15929	4.9 mi	—
15731	4.9 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.