BMIE Market 15825

Jefferson County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,426 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,562 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,773 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,130 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$694 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$158,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	154.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15825
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+27.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+21.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+43.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15825. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.1	57	40%	+22.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.7	53	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	71.2	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,426	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	64,130	37	40%	+14.9
Households (ACS)	3,971	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.8	69	35%	+24.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.4	28	25%	+6.9
Population (ACS)	9,426	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	64,130	37	20%	+7.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	27.8	82	50%	+41.1
10-year restaurant growth	27.8	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	21.1	46	20%	+9.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

American 13 · Burgers 6 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 12 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 8 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&M Family Restaurant	Buffet	American	234 Allegheny Blvd	open
Angelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	179 Main St	open
Ann's Grab N Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1 Evans St	open
Arby's	Quick service		224 Allegheny Blvd	open
Bill's Bar	Bar · Casual dining		9 Western Ave	open
Blackbird Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		93 Blackout Aly	open
Bob's Sub and Sandwich Shop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	320 W Main St	open
Buddy Boy Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		864 Route 36	open
Buff's Ice Cream and Lunch	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1 Mabon St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	212 Allegheny Blvd	open
Chez Laursen	Bar · Café	Coffee	3633 Ramsaytown Rd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	234 Allegheny Blvd	open
Courthouse Grille and Pub	Casual dining · Bar		209 Main St	open
Cozumel Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	325 W Main St	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	256 Allegheny Blvd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	250 W Main St	open
Dan Smith Candies	Dessert	Dessert	77 Barnett St	open
Dan Smith's Candies Dan Smith's Candies & Gifts	Dessert	Dessert	301 W Main St	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		246 Allegheny Blvd	open
Devil's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	60 Progress St	open
Dirty Ehrma's Cornerside Tavern	Bar	American · Burgers	6 Pickering St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	301 West Main Street	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		250 W Main St	open
Drip Coffeehouse + Kitchen	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	229 Main St	open
F.O.E. 983 Brookville Eagles	Bar		270 Main St	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den & Arcade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	275 Main St	open
Frosty Freeze	Casual dining	Burgers · American	804 PA-36	open
Fusion Atelier	Café	Coffee	185 Main St	open
Fusion Atelier	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	185 Main St	open
Grandkids Ice Cream Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	773 Hazen Richardsville Rd	open
Grandma's Kitchen	Casual dining	American	12680 PA-36	open
Grounded Brewings	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	130 Main St	open
Honey's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	365 Main St	open
King Krunch Brands	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)		199 Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	248 Allegheny Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	249 Allegheny Blvd	open
Nam Nam Vietnamese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian · American	79 Pickering St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	259 Allegheny Blvd Jefferson	open
Plylers Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	234 Allegheny Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	228 Allegheny Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	301 W Main St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	245 Allegheny Blvd	open
Temerity Aleworks	Brewery / taproom · Bar		98 Service Center Rd	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Burgers	246 Allegheny Blvd	open
The Chow Hall	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		Fuller Rd	open
The Hourglass	Casual dining · Bar	American	78 Progress St	open
Toby Hill Pinecrest	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		29 W Pinecrest Ln	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1373 Route 28 N	open
Brookville Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		255 Hunts Aly	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	24	20	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	26	20	9	9	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	26	21	10	9	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	24	17	8	8	1	5	NAICS1997
2001	24	18	9	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	22	18	10	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	22	19	9	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	24	20	9	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	23	19	9	8	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	24	19	8	7	4	4	NAICS2002
2007	23	18	8	7	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	22	17	10	5	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	23	18	11	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	23	18	11	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	23	17	11	5	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	24	18	10	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	24	18	10	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	23	17	9	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	23	17	9	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	23	17	8	8	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	24	17	6	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	25	18	8	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	27	19	8	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	28	19	8	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	26	17	6	8	3	5	NAICS2017
2022	31	22	7	12	3	5	NAICS2022
2023	31	23	8	11	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15825. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.