BMIE Market 15902

Cambria County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,462 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±698 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±254 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,513 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,503 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$65,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,187 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15902
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-58.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15902. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.6	48	40%	+19.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.1	45	35%	+15.8
Market Momentum Score	27.4	27	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,462	73	40%	+29.1
Median household income (ACS)	44,215	9	40%	+3.6
Households (ACS)	5,050	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.4	94	25%	+23.5
Population (ACS)	11,462	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	44,215	9	20%	+1.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · American 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Bar 11 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Reds Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		614 Horner St	open
900 Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	900 Ash St	open
B & L Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		316 Shiloh Ave	open
Bigdogz Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1750 Bedford St	open
Club House II	Bar		900 Ash St	open
Conemaugh Halal Cafe/Affiliated with the Conemaugh Islamic Center	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Coffee	603 Grove Ave	open
Custom Cakes & Cookies	Dessert	Dessert	632 Bedford St	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Other	Sandwiches	425 Horner St	open
Gyro Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	134 Ohio St	open
I Scream Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	324 Ohio St	open
Jada's Jazz Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	603 Grove Ave	open
Johhnstown Christian School	Dessert	Dessert	747 Russell Ave	open
Johnstown Inn	Bar · Casual dining		1310 Frankstown Rd	open
Jr's Sports Den	Bar · Casual dining	American	512 Oakland Ave	open
Lazarus Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	603 Grove Ave	open
Mom & Docks (Hot dogs)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		431 Horner St	open
Moxham Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	671 Linden Ave	open
Moxham Pna-1327	Bar		341 Lunen St	open
O'shea's Candies	Dessert		1118 Solomon St	open
Ohio Street Lounge	Bar		340 Ohio St	open
Old Franco's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	308 Central Ave	open
Slammin Sams	Bar	American	80 Bridge St	open
SMF Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		652 honer st	open
Sue Bee's	Bar		800 Ash St	open
T N C's Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		640 Bedford St #1957	open
The Lounge Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	603 Grove Ave	open
Village Street Cafe	Café	Coffee	603 Grove Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	20	13	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	20	14	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	19	13	7	5	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	17	8	4	4	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	17	9	5	3	1	6	NAICS1997
2001	17	6	3	3	—	9	NAICS1997
2002	16	7	2	4	1	7	NAICS1997
2003	14	7	2	4	1	6	NAICS2002
2004	16	8	3	4	1	7	NAICS2002
2005	12	7	2	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	13	5	2	3	—	7	NAICS2002
2007	15	7	3	3	1	7	NAICS2002
2008	15	8	5	3	—	6	NAICS2007
2009	14	7	5	2	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	13	7	5	1	1	5	NAICS2007
2011	16	9	6	2	1	6	NAICS2007
2012	18	10	6	3	1	7	NAICS2012
2013	15	6	4	1	1	7	NAICS2012
2014	15	6	3	2	1	7	NAICS2012
2015	13	4	2	2	—	7	NAICS2012
2016	13	4	2	1	1	7	NAICS2012
2017	14	5	3	—	—	8	NAICS2017
2018	13	5	3	—	—	7	NAICS2017
2019	12	4	—	—	—	7	NAICS2017
2020	9	4	3	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	9	4	3	—	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	11	6	5	—	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	11	5	4	—	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15902. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15904	1.6 mi	56	2023
15901	2.4 mi	15	2023
15945	2.8 mi	1	2016
15956	4.4 mi	2	2016
15934	4.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.