BMIE Market 15906

Cambria County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,504 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±719 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,144 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,876 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$43,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,978 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±156 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$57,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15906
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15906. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.9	46	40%	+18.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.6	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	41.0	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,504	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	43,284	8	40%	+3.3
Households (ACS)	4,583	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.4	79	25%	+19.7
Population (ACS)	9,504	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	43,284	8	20%	+1.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 7 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Indian 1

By type

Bar 13 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5th Avenue Taproom	Bar		311 5th Ave	open
Alchemie	Bar		512 Chestnut St	open
Alcove Lounge Alcove Cafe & Bakery	Bar		347 Fairfield Ave	open
B & L Wine Cellars	Bar		900 Broad St	open
beppler's oldtown tavern	Bar		313 2nd Ave	open
Croatian Hall	Bar		612 Broad St	open
Fairfield Ave Lounge And Tony's Pizza	Bar		74 Fairfield Ave	open
Holeshot Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	498 Cooper Ave	open
Island Cuisine Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		606 Broad St	open
KC Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		496 Decker Ave	open
Koch's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	408 Strayer St	open
Laurel & Grouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	402 Chestnut St	open
Leo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	61 Fairfield Ave	open
Life's A Treat	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	159 Gilbert St	open
Liquid Currency	Bar		313 2nd Ave	open
Lucky 13 Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Broad St	open
Our Sons' Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	800 Broad St	open
Pyramid's Lounge and Catering	Bar · Catering		370 Sheridan St	open
Ryan's Artisan Goods	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery · American	424 Broad St	open
St Rochus Sweet Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery	719 Chestnut St	open
Steel City Cafe US	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	348 N Sheridan St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	400 Broad St	open
Sweet Things	Dessert	Dessert	159 Gilbert St	open
Tawn And John's	Bar	Sandwiches	693 Cooper Ave	open
The Phoenix Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	200 Broad St	open
Vatavuk's	Casual dining	American	498 Cooper Ave	open
Village Street Cafe @ Cambria City	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	424 Broad St	open
Vybe Lounge	Bar		74 Fairfield Ave	open
West End Curry House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	348 Sheridan St	open
Zeke's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	80 Fairfield Ave #82	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	12	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	21	13	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	20	11	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	22	15	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	19	11	8	3	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	22	10	7	3	—	9	NAICS1997
2000	22	11	9	2	—	7	NAICS1997
2001	19	10	8	2	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	18	9	6	3	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	19	10	6	4	—	6	NAICS2002
2004	19	10	6	4	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	17	10	6	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	10	4	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	16	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	17	9	3	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	14	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	13	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	11	7	4	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	10	4	3	1	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	13	7	5	2	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	17	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS2012
2015	16	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	15	8	5	3	—	5	NAICS2012
2017	16	9	5	3	—	5	NAICS2017
2018	15	8	4	3	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	15	8	4	3	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	16	8	3	4	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	16	8	3	4	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	16	8	3	4	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	14	8	3	4	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15906. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15909	3.8 mi	4	2023
15945	3.9 mi	1	2016
15901	4.1 mi	15	2023
15954	4.2 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.