BMIE Market 15946

Cambria County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,561 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±286 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,866 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,093 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,218 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,582 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,958 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$662 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$117,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15946
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	5 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15946. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.1	48	40%	+19.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.0	41	35%	+14.3
Market Momentum Score	5.2	5	25%	+1.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,561	65	40%	+25.9
Median household income (ACS)	55,582	22	40%	+9.0
Households (ACS)	2,866	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.1	88	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	6,561	65	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	55,582	22	20%	+4.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 5 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.0
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · American 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Best Way Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	528 Main St	open
Best Way Pizza Best Way Pizza Altoona	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3592 Portage St	open
Chatter Box	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	900 Main St	open
Craig Mazz's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	808 Caldwell Ave	open
Dominic's Family Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	401 Main St	open
Dominics Six Pack Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 Main St	open
Dough Boyz Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3670 Portage St	open
Fortune Cookie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3670 Portage St	open
Germantown Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3568 Frankstown Rd	open
HEN-itentiary	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Johnstown, Windber, Portage	open
Heritage Cafe & Lounge	Bar · Café	Coffee	601 Bedford St	open
Homer's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	639 Main St	open
Jamestown Rod & Gun Club	Bar		247 Sportsman Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3592 Portage St	open
Moose Lodge 131	Bar		977 Orange Ave	open
Mustang Saloon & Eatery	Bar · Quick service		609 Bedford St	open
Nonna T's Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	808 Caldwell Ave Ste 108	open
Olde Kegg Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		623 Main St	open
Parkway Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	106 Munster Rd	open
Red's Bar-B-Que	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	3160 Portage St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	115 Main St	open
The Frosted Easel	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	125 Meadow Ln	open
The Glass House	Casual dining · Bar		1635 Caldwell Ave	open
The Last Chance Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1653 Puritan Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	15	9	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	15	9	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	14	7	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	14	8	4	3	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	14	7	4	2	1	7	NAICS1997
2000	14	8	5	2	1	6	NAICS1997
2001	13	6	4	2	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	12	6	3	3	—	6	NAICS1997
2003	11	6	3	3	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	10	5	3	2	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	12	5	2	3	—	7	NAICS2002
2006	12	5	2	2	1	7	NAICS2002
2007	13	6	2	4	—	7	NAICS2002
2008	12	7	2	5	—	5	NAICS2007
2009	13	7	1	6	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	12	7	2	5	—	5	NAICS2007
2011	14	9	3	5	1	5	NAICS2007
2012	13	9	4	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	13	8	3	4	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	11	6	1	4	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	14	8	2	4	2	6	NAICS2012
2016	14	9	3	5	1	5	NAICS2012
2017	12	8	3	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	12	8	3	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	4	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	10	6	—	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	8	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15946. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15925	2.9 mi	—
15938	3.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.