BMIE Market 15963

Somerset County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,360 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,114 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,264 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,566 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,836 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$135,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	90.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15963
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15963. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.8	56	40%	+22.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.5	64	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	66.8	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,132	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	61,566	33	40%	+13.0
Households (ACS)	4,360	72	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.8	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	10,132	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	61,566	33	20%	+6.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	30%	+23.6
20-year restaurant growth	30	52	20%	+10.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ambassador's Ballroom	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3115 Graham Ave	open
Bar Cortese	Bar		Claruth Dr	open
Bellas at Coal Heritage Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	501 15th St	open
Carlyn's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	506 15th St	open
Crousey's	Bar		1224 Graham Ave	open
D'Arc's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2013 Graham Ave	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	718 Graham Ave	open
Laytons Concessions/ Crabby Patty	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1206 3rd St	open
Leone's Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1914 Graham Ave	open
Marie's Nutcracker Sweet, Inc.	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2400 Jackson Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	298 21st St	open
Mimo's Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1332 Graham Ave	open
Mine 42 Club	Bar		119 Club Rd	open
Rizzo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2200 Graham Ave	open
Stock's 50 Six Pac	Bar		202 21st St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	200 21st St	open
The Frosty Korner	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	14 Dark Shade Dr	open
The Rambler	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Windber Rambler - Ice Cream, 1203 Jefferson Ave	open
TinBucTu Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		7928 Clear Shade Dr	open
TNT Concessions	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		920 Wissinger Rd	open
Town Tavern Town Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		1700 Graham Ave	open
Windber Pit Stop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Dark Shade Dr	open
Windber Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1008 Graham Ave	open
Zeiglers	Bar · Casual dining		Graham Ave	open
Greenhouse Arcade	Bar		1800 Graham Ave Ste 1	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	11	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	20	14	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	20	12	6	4	2	6	NAICS1997
1999	20	13	7	4	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	20	13	8	3	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	23	15	9	4	2	6	NAICS1997
2002	21	14	6	6	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	16	10	5	3	2	4	NAICS2002
2004	17	11	6	3	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	16	11	6	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	16	11	7	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	17	10	6	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	18	9	5	2	2	5	NAICS2007
2009	18	10	6	2	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	17	9	5	2	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	16	8	5	1	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	17	9	6	1	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	16	9	6	1	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	15	10	6	2	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	10	6	2	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	16	11	7	2	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	16	11	6	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	6	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	16	11	6	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	16	11	6	4	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	16	11	6	4	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	17	13	7	5	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15963. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15934	4.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.