BMIE Market 16033

Butler County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±808 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,165 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,640 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,636 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$333,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16033
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-64.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16033. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.7	64	35%	+22.3
Market Momentum Score	44.4	44	25%	+11.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,185	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	108,071	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	3,368	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	8,185	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	108,071	86	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Back Home BBQ & Brew Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	1328 Mars-Evans City Rd	open
Bakers Backstreet Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		113 Jefferson St	open
Brew Monkey	Brewery / taproom		121 E Main St	open
China Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	544 W Main St	open
Clifford's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	514 Upper Harmony Rd	open
Coffee Brake Evans City	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	111 E Main St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		208 East Main Street	open
Ghost Peppers Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Mexican · Healthy / salads / bowls	312 E Main St	open
Hilltop Hoppery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		Watters Station Road	open
Hot taco authentic mexican cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	312 E Main St	open
La Casita de Don Pancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	121 E Main St	open
Lighthouse Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		90 Pattison St	open
Lucky Dogs Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1570 Mars-Evans City Rd	open
Milano Pizza Callery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1358 Mars-Evans City Rd	open
P & B's Sweets & Eats	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	311 E Main St	open
Posti's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	311 E Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	231 E Main St	open
Super Suppers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Brennan Ln	open
Supremo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1324 Mars-Evans City Rd	open
TJ's Hideaway	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		348 Spithaler School Rd	open
Wendereusz's Candy & More LLC	Dessert	Dessert	210 E Main St	open
Zimmerman's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	133 E Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	17	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	9	6	4	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	3	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	7	4	3	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	8	4	3	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	5	—	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	8	4	—	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	9	5	—	3	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16033. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16027	2.3 mi	—
16053	3.6 mi	4	2023
16024	4.0 mi	1	2015

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.