BMIE Market 16142

Mercer County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,522 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±547 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,056 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,282 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,420 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$874 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$226,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16142
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16142. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.8	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.3	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	20.2	20	25%	+5.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,522	62	40%	+24.8
Median household income (ACS)	84,205	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	1,932	60	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.9	69	25%	+17.2
Population (ACS)	5,522	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	84,205	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Coffee 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abe's Old Fashioned Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	936 PA-18	open
Alice's Pizza/Sweet Chessie's Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	123 High St	open
Amish Country Marketplace	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	129 S Market St	open
Bourbon And Bull	Bar		134 E Neshannock Ave	open
Hop Asylum	Brewery / taproom		138 S Market St	open
Jimmy's Corner Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	147 S Market St	open
Just 4 U Café & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 High St	open
Lottie's Sips & Sweets	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	141 S Market St	open
Mona's Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	129 S Market St	open
New Wilmington Bakery & Home Goods	Bakery	Bakery	41 Rogan Ln	open
New Wilmington Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	139 S Market St	open
Pizza Joe's Pizza Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	209 S Market St	open
Pulse Coffee Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Café · Bar · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	138 S Market St	open
Ryder's Restaurant	Casual dining	American	936 PA-18	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	961 State Route 18	open
Sweet Memories Candy & More	Dessert		129 S Market St	open
The Tavern on the Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 N Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	6	1	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	3	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	4	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	4	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	3	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16142. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16172	1.2 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.