BMIE Market 16319

Venango County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	416 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,355 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	581 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,036 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$150,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16319
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	81.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	28 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	22 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16319. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	35.3	35	40%	+14.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	21.9	22	35%	+7.7
Market Momentum Score	24.8	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	961	31	40%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	65,900	40	40%	+16.1
Households (ACS)	416	33	20%	+6.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	114.5	4	25%	+0.9
Population (ACS)	961	31	20%	+6.3
Median household income (ACS)	65,900	40	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 5 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Cousins Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7140 US-322	open
28199, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7028 US 322	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7044 Rte 322	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7044 Rte 322	open
Asian Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6945 US 322	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	27 Kimberly Ln	open
Cozumel Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7060 US 322	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7101 US 322	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		7101 US-322	open
El Toro Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7060 US-322	open
Hoss's Steak & Sea House Hoss's Steak and Sea House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	2432 PA-257	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7028 Us Hwy 322	open
Pink Champagne Cupcakery	Bakery	Bakery	7150 US 322	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10 Kimberly Ln	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7047 US 322	open
Valley Dairy Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	80 Regina Dr	open
Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	20120 Perry Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7 Kimberly Ln	open
Yamato Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	80 Regina Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	1	3	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	3	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	3	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	14	3	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	4	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	4	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	4	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16319. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16331	4.2 mi	1	2016
16346	4.5 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.