BMIE Market 16686

Blair County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,480 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,488 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,970 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$796 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$173,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	146.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16686
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-31.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-8.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16686. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.3	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.5	49	35%	+17.0
Market Momentum Score	13.5	14	25%	+3.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,427	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	69,008	45	40%	+18.2
Households (ACS)	5,480	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.2	80	25%	+19.9
Population (ACS)	13,427	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	69,008	45	20%	+9.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	-31.3	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 3 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Other 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Gen Farmstand	Food truck		4707 Warriors Mark Path	open
Austin's Texas Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	4384 E Pleasant Valley Blvd	open
Bake Shop Bakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	123 W 10th St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1100 Pennsylvania Ave	open
DJ's Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2068 Columbia Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5530 E Pleasant Valley Blvd	open
Dottavio Italian House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · Breakfast · American	1302 Pennsylvania Ave	open
East End Pizza Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	1600 Columbia Ave	open
Family Chill and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13524 S Eagle Valley Rd	open
Gardners Candies Gardners Candies	Dessert	Dessert	30 W 10th St	open
Gardners Candies Inc.	Dessert	Dessert	2600 Adams Ave	open
Honeydipper	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1410 Decker Hollow Rd	open
Jean-O's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5319 E Pleasant Valley Blvd	open
Main Moon Main Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1050 Penna Ave	open
Mama Llama's Bakery, LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4196 Cherry Ln	open
Maya Mountain Coffee and Spice Company, Inc	Café	Coffee	4707 Warriors Mark Path Rd	open
Modern Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai		open
Nino's Pizza & Italian Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 E 12th St	open
Original Italian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	40 W 10th St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5684 E Pleasant Valley Blvd	open
Power House Subs	Other	Sandwiches	1021 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Steiny Estates	Bar · Brewery / taproom		2817 Village Ln	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7060 Tyrone Pike	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	1264 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Sugar Mill Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Pizza · Juice / smoothies	3209 S 4th St	open
Super Bakery Inc.	Bakery	Bakery	32 Cherry Ave	open
The Brew Coffee and Tap	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	1021 Pennsylvania Ave	open
The Bull Pen Restaurant & Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	207 Jefferson Ave	open
Tyrone Sandwich & Six Pack	Other	Sandwiches	5581 E Pleasant Valley Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	4	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	6	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	21	18	7	8	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	17	8	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	7	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	17	13	3	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	12	6	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	17	14	8	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16686. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16684	3.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.