BMIE Market 16866

Centre County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±604 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,881 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$758 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$150,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,957 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	157.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16866
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-5.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16866. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.7	48	40%	+19.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.1	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	62.6	63	25%	+15.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,152	69	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	49,968	15	40%	+5.9
Households (ACS)	3,737	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.6	41	25%	+10.3
Population (ACS)	9,152	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	49,968	15	20%	+3.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30.8	84	50%	+41.8
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	-5.6	18	20%	+3.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 4 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Diner	Casual dining	American	1841 Philipsburg Bigler Hwy	open
Brother's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	221 N Front St	open
China Wok	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1027 N Front St	open
Cold Cuts & Co.	Specialty food shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · Coffee · American	124 N 2nd St	open
ColdStreamCreamery	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	American · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Combat Carl's Cantina	Bar	Mexican	704 Old Route 322	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	422 N Front St.	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1161 Philipsburg Bigler Hwy	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1374 Troy Hawk Run Hwy	open
Graham's Up In Smoke BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	838 Tyrone Pike	open
Hi-Way Pizza Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	915 Walton St	open
Joey's To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	618 N 9th St	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	26 Ames Plz	open
KFC	Quick service		26 Ames Plaza	open
KT's Cakery	Bakery	Bakery	North 13th Street	open
Mae’s Makin’s	Bakery	Bakery	119 N Front St	open
Main Won	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	224 N Front St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Us Route 322 West	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	952 N Front St	open
Reliance Fire Hall Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 N Centre St	open
Retro Eatery	Casual dining	American	112 W Pine St	open
RJ's Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	615 N 9th St	open
Sarah’s Sourdough LLC	Bakery	Bakery	1444 Phoenix Rd	open
Sarina's Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1079 N Front St	open
Sheffield Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · American	499 Sheffield St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	503 N Front St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1129 Philipsburg Bigler Hwy	open
The Dead Canary Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		5 N Front St	open
The Fox Head	Bar	American · Burgers	2809 Port Matilda Hwy	open
The Paltry Pantry at Ferguson LFLs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		229 S Centre St	open
The Sweet Suite	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	119 N Front St Ste 101	open
Twisted Vine Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		144 N Front St	open
Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory	Dessert		Rm 235	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	20	15	10	4	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	16	12	9	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	17	13	9	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	15	10	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	21	16	11	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	22	18	10	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	16	7	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	25	19	8	10	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	22	17	6	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	24	17	6	10	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	24	20	9	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	26	21	9	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	18	7	10	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	25	21	9	11	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	17	7	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	19	15	6	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	20	17	7	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	19	17	7	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	16	7	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	5	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16866. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16840	4.4 mi	—
16860	5.0 mi	1	2005

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.