BMIE Market 17022

Lancaster County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,908 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±965 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,602 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,592 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,097 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,546 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$294,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	55.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17022
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 34–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17022. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.0	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.9	74	35%	+25.9
Market Momentum Score	60.5	60	25%	+15.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,908	90	40%	+36.0
Median household income (ACS)	86,767	70	40%	+28.0
Households (ACS)	12,477	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.9	69	35%	+24.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.7
Population (ACS)	31,908	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	86,767	70	20%	+14.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.1	59	50%	+29.7
10-year restaurant growth	26.9	69	30%	+20.7
20-year restaurant growth	26.9	50	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (79)

By cuisine

Coffee 14 · American 11 · Pizza 10 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Italian 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vegetarian 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 13 · Café 11 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Food truck 3 · Buffet 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Babbo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	655 N Market St	open
Black Gryphon	Casual dining · Bar	American	54 Mt Gretna Rd	open
Briarcliff Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7 Briarcliff Rd	open
Brother's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	256 S Market St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2370 S Market St	open
Carini Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1075 Turnpike Rd	open
Country Meadows Restaurant	Casual dining	American	81 Hershey Rd	open
Cox Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		276 Heisey Quarry Rd	open
Daydream Breadhäus	Bakery	Bakery	1107 S Market St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1575 S Market St	open
Dove Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	295 Brown St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Other · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Sandwiches · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	820 South Market Street	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1500 S Market St Hess	open
E-Yuan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Vegetarian · Asian	39 S Market St	open
El mariachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2 N Market St	open
Elizabethtown Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10 S Market St	open
End Zone Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		45 W High St	open
Etown Noodles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	37 S Market St	open
EVO 206 Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	206 S Market St	open
Figments in Sprinkles	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies	50 S Market St	open
Flowers Dirty Beer Shack	Bar		7 Raymond Ct	open
Folklore Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1 N Market St	open
Fractured Prune The Donut Shoppe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	498 W High St	open
Fresca by Fuego	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	28 S Market St	open
FUEGO LATINO II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas	28 S Market St	open
Good Burrito Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	17 W High St	open
Goose & Gridiron Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		75 Village Green Dr	open
Groovy Bean Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	153 E High St	open
Heckman Restaurants Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 Mount Gretna Rd	open
Hitch Coffee	Café	Coffee	346 Hershey Rd	open
Hokkaido Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1623 S Market St	open
Homebaked Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	346 Hershey Rd	open
Hoss's Steak & Sea House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	840 N Hanover St	open
Hub On Market	Café	Coffee	206 S Market St	open
Jay's Nest	Food truck · Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Brossman Commons	open
Jj Variety Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1638 S Market St	open
Juquilita Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1680B S Market St	open
Lucky Ducks Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar		45 N Market St	open
Lucky Ducks Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	45 N Market St	open
Made With Love Not Gluten	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	40 W High St	open
Manchester Teas and Tarts	Juice, smoothie, tea · Catering	Tea / bubble tea · British / Irish pub food	Elizabethtown	open
Martins Country Kitchen Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2853 Hershey Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1284 S Market St	open
Metro Express Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1680-B S Market St	open
Moo-Duck Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		79 S Wilson Ave	open
Mountain Mug Coffee	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		191 Ridgeview Rd S	open
My Place Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	95 Anchor Rd	open
One Love Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	346 Hershey Rd	open
Orchard View Cafe	Café	Coffee	310 Eden View Rd	open
P&J Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	22 E High St	open
Panda Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1575 S Market St #113	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	250 S Cherry Alley	open
Piccola Stella	Café	Breakfast · French · Coffee	11 S Market St	open
Pine Creek Spirits	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		28 S Market St	open
PizzAtown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	50 Veterans Dr	open
Ridge Run Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		4620 Ridge Rd	open
Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	30 N Market St	open
Roost & Rise Home Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1541 Maytown Rd	open
Sal's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2345 S Market St	open
Serious Sips	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2388 N Market St	open
Spence Candies	Dessert	Dessert	558 E High St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1278 S Market St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1605 S Market St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	135 N Market St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1625 S Market Street Suite 6C	open
T.J. Rockwell's T.J. Rockwell's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	800 Mt Gretna Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1551 S Market St	open
The Free From Kitchen, Llc	Bakery	Bakery	1722 Bainbridge Rd	open
The Hershey Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	2853 Hershey Rd	open
The Kitchen at Sandy Cliff Farm	Bakery	Bakery	1708 Ridge Rd	open
The Spot Hometown Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	28 S Market St	open
Third Half Brewing Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28 S Market St	open
Troegs Brewing Co. Warehouse Tröegs	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1499 Zeager Rd	open
Twin Kiss	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	901 N Hanover St	open
Udder Bliss Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	189 Ridgeview Rd S	open
Valosh pÃ¢tisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	23 E High St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1660 S Market St	open
Whisk Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	98 Masonic Dr #102	open
Snyders Of Hanover Inc.	Bakery	Bakery	32 Industrial Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	24	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	30	28	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	27	25	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	28	22	9	13	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	28	24	11	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	27	23	11	12	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	28	24	11	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	30	26	11	13	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	30	26	11	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	35	29	13	13	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	34	28	12	13	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	31	23	10	10	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	30	26	10	10	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	31	26	11	9	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	31	25	11	8	5	2	NAICS2007
2010	33	28	12	10	5	3	NAICS2007
2011	35	30	12	12	5	3	NAICS2007
2012	36	31	14	13	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	31	26	9	13	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	34	29	11	13	5	3	NAICS2012
2015	37	30	11	15	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	38	32	12	16	4	4	NAICS2012
2017	41	34	16	15	3	4	NAICS2017
2018	40	32	15	14	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	37	29	13	13	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	42	34	14	16	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	43	35	15	16	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	40	33	13	14	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	40	33	11	15	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17022. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17570	3.5 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.