BMIE Market 17067
Lebanon County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±843 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,232 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,725 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $76,183 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,079 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,236 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $237,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,317 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 47.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17067 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +77.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +6.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 8–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17067. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 69.2 | 69 | 40% | +27.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.7 | 63 | 35% | +22.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 69.9 | 70 | 25% | +17.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,815 | 77 | 40% | +31.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 76,183 | 57 | 40% | +22.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,140 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 51 | 35% | +17.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.1 | 72 | 25% | +17.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,815 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 76,183 | 57 | 20% | +11.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 77.8 | 94 | 50% | +47.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 51 | 30% | +15.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (37)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All American Pig Roaster | Café · Coffee shop | American · Coffee | 204 W Franklin Ave | open |
| Auntie Anne's Cinnabon | Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café | Sandwiches · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 2210 Camp Swatara Rd | open |
| Baked Sweet Coffeehouse And Bakery | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 429 Frystown Rd | open |
| Big Dutch Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2495 Stiegel Pike | open | |
| Bliss Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 494 W Lincoln Ave | open | |
| Cake A Fare | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 498 E Lincoln Ave | open |
| Country Fare Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 498 E Lincoln Ave | open |
| DoGoods Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | American | 2 E Main Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 133 West Lincoln Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 291 W Lincoln Ave | open |
| Dutch-Way Family Restaurant Dutch-Way Hardware | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 649 E Lincoln Ave | open |
| East China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1 E Lincoln Ave | open |
| Fat Puppy Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 113 E Main Ave | open |
| Fresco Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 101 W Lincoln Ave | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 198 W Lincoln Avenue | open |
| Huddle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2210 Camp Swatara Rd | open |
| King's Bar-B-Que LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches | 1549 Stiegel Pike | open |
| Lantern Lodge Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 411 N College St | open |
| Mast Bulk Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 158 N Ramona Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 295 W Lincoln | open |
| Mt Aetna Rescue Fire Company social club | Bar | 99 E Tanner St | open | |
| Olde Willow Tree Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 10 N College St | open |
| Pep's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6 W Main Ave | open |
| Plaza Azteca Myerstown Plaza Azteca, Methuen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 200 Garden Ave | open |
| Porch Restaurant and Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 890 Tulpehocken Rd | open | |
| Raub's Twin Kiss | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 361 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Seigfried's Restaurant Equipment & Supply, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4 Mill Rd | open | |
| Smith's Candies Wholesale | Dessert | Dessert | 408 S Railroad St | open |
| Stone Bar Inn | Bar | 535 Frystown Rd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 299 W Lincoln Ave | open |
| The BBQ Trough | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3 Daub Rd | open |
| The Ice Shack | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American | 707 E Lincoln Ave | open |
| The Sugar Shaker | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 15 E Lincoln Ave | open |
| Timber Creek Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 494 W Lincoln Ave | open |
| Tony's Roma Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 52 W Main Ave | open |
| Tosco Pizza Tosco in Myerstown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 101 W Lincoln Ave | open |
| Westside Pizza Pub and Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 494 W Lincoln Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 15 | 13 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |