BMIE Market 17225

Franklin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±456 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,879 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,495 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$304,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,023 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17225
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+92.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+78.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 18–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17225. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.7	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.8	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	66.7	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,347	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	88,457	72	40%	+28.7
Households (ACS)	7,973	81	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.3	63	25%	+15.8
Population (ACS)	20,347	82	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	88,457	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	92.3	79	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 5 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 9 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Catering 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antrim House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	104 E Baltimore St	open
B Street 104 Restaurant & Pub	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		104 E Baltimore St	open
Boar City BBQ	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13963 Molly Pitcher Hwy	open
Brio Coffeehouse Inc	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	112 S Antrim Way	open
Broad Axe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		30 W Franklin St	open
Brother's Pizza Greencastle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	50 Pine Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	771 Buchanan Trail E	open
Cafe Del Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	504 N Antrim Way	open
Cafe Del Sol Greencastle Cafe Del Sol	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	164 E Baltimore St	open
Carousel Treats & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12 A W Baltimore St	open
Country Pride Country Pride	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	10835 John Wayne Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	530 N Antrim Way	open
Duddy Bing's Cafe of Wings	Café · Quick service	Coffee · Chicken / wings	408 S Washington St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	705 E Baltimore St	open
El Sombrero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	25 W Franklin St	open
Fireside Pub	Bar · Casual dining		2000 Castlegreen Dr	open
Gem's Ale House & Woodfired Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		108 E Baltimore St	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	705 Buchanan Trl E	open
Greencastle Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	42 E Baltimore St	open
Greencastle Los Pollos Hermanos	Quick service		704 E Baltimore St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	30 S Antrim Way	open
Hidden Key Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		101 W Baltimore St	open
Home Style Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	26 N Antrim Way	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2 Center Sq	open
Jim's Tavern	Bar		200 W Madison St	open
John Allison Public House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	155 S Antrim Way	open
Khaotic sweetz llc	Dessert	Dessert	33 center Square	open
Lady Marys Royal Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	30 W Baltimore St	open
Lizzy's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2753 Buchanan Trail W	open
Mama K's Buns	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	15 W Baltimore St	open
Mason Dixon Bbq Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1542 Buchanan Trl E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	721 Buchanan Trl E	open
Mi Tierra Linda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	504 N Antrim Way	open
Mikie's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	179 S Antrim Way	open
Mrs. Gibbles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7325 Molly Pitcher Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	152 S Antrim Way Franklin	open
Pure And Simple Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		164 E Baltimore St	open
Scoops on the Square	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	12 W Baltimore St	open
Sora Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	510 N Antrim Way	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10830 John Wayne Dr	open
Sunnyway Diner	Casual dining	American	140 N Antrim Way	open
Sweet Dreams BBQ	Catering	BBQ · American	15420 Molly Pitcher Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	10820 John Wayne Dr	open
Taqueria el Paso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	13640 Molly Pitcher Hwy	open
the bean & biscuit	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	18 E Baltimore St	open
The Brew House Pints and Plates	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 W Baltimore St	open
The Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	200 S Antrim Way	open
Tony's New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	42 S Antrim Way	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	16	9	7	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	6	8	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	6	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	19	17	7	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	20	18	7	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	21	19	7	10	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	7	11	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	21	19	6	11	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	21	19	5	12	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	23	21	7	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	25	24	7	16	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	26	25	8	14	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	27	26	8	15	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	23	22	7	14	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	8	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	23	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	20	9	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	22	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	23	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	24	10	11	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	25	10	12	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17225. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17263	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.