BMIE Market 17268
Franklin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±888 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,285 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,283 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $73,161 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,121 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $237,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,249 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 77.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17268 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +29.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +109.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +69.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 41–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17268. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 73.9 | 74 | 40% | +29.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 | 66 | 35% | +23.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 77.7 | 78 | 25% | +19.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,362 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,161 | 52 | 40% | +20.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,784 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 29.4 | 71 | 35% | +24.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.0 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,362 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,161 | 52 | 20% | +10.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 22.2 | 79 | 50% | +39.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 29.4 | 71 | 30% | +21.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 109.5 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (94)
By cuisine
American 20 · Pizza 13 · Coffee 10 · Italian 8 · Burgers 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Japanese 4 · Chinese 3 · Mexican 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Bar 17 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 14 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Food truck 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 2 · Catering 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 East Main St Sapporo Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 56 N Church St | open |
| 633 Brewing Llc | Brewery / taproom | 118 Walnut St Ste 106 | open | |
| 997 Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7888 Anthony Hwy Unit G | open | |
| Adventures In Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 230 E Main St | open |
| Annie's Ice Cream & More | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 211 W 9th St | open |
| Antietam Dairy | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 834 S Church St | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 12825 Washington Township Blvd | open |
| Arturo's Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8160 Anthony Hwy | open |
| Arturo's Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5261 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Quick service · Bakery · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Bakery | 12751 Washington Twp Blvd | open |
| Bar-B-Que Beast | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 416 Cleveland Ave | open |
| Break Away Sports Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 810 S Potomac St | open | |
| Brio Coffeehouse Inc | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2 E Main St | open |
| Brother's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 11882 Buchanan Trail E | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1617 E Main St | open |
| Cafe Del Sol Cafe Del Sol | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Coffee | 11119 Buchanan Trail E | open |
| Camacho's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5261 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Chaparral Tavern | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6878 Anthony Hwy | open | |
| China King buffet | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 640 E Main St | open |
| China Maple | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 11121 Buchanan Trail E | open |
| Christine's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 81 W Main St | open |
| Cracken Catering - Food Truck & Carryout | Food truck · Catering | 14085 Buchanan Trl E | open | |
| Crepe Fusion | Food truck · Catering | 416 Cleveland ave | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1951 E Main St | open |
| Dawg House | Bar | 6640 Buchanan Trl E | open | |
| Dawn And Dusk Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 11235 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 614 E Main St | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 1951 E Main St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1900 E Main St | open |
| five forks tavern | Bar | 8978 Wayne Hwy | open | |
| Frank's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1901 E Main St | open |
| Frank's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4 W Main St | open |
| Golden Corral | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1543 E Main St | open |
| Gracies Place on the Square | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5 E Main St | open |
| Gus and Ted's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 26 S Potomac St | open | |
| Hard Shells Seafood Market & BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Seafood | 11383 Anthony Hwy | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1527 E Main St | open |
| Hartle's Sub Waynesboro | Other | Sandwiches | 11337 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Jade Cottage Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 304 W Main St | open |
| Keystone Family Restaurant | Buffet | 10530 Buchanan Trl E | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 11137 Buchanan Trail E. Route 6 | open |
| Lenca Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop | Coffee | 11973 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11374 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Main Street Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 91 W Main St | open |
| Main Street Family Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Wayne Heights Mall, 1543 E Main St | open |
| Masa Sushi and Asian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 12775 Washington Township Blvd | open |
| Mateo's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) · American | 7888 Anthony Hwy | open |
| Mathias Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 300 Cleveland Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 302 E Main St | open |
| Michaux Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 11657 Buchanan Trail E | open | |
| Mikey D's All American Grill | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 410 N Grant St | open |
| Monterey Pass Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 11723 Old Route 16 St | open |
| Montezuma Restaurant Montezuma Wayne Ave | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 118 Walnut St | open |
| New Taste Of China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1517 E Main St | open |
| New York Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 304 W Main St | open |
| Nikki's Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Korean · Asian | 22 W Main St | open |
| Off the Rails Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 11973 Buchanan Trail E | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1675 E Main St | open |
| Pappy's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 220 W Main St | open | |
| Park Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 132 E 5th St | open | |
| Parlor House | Casual dining | American | 724 S Potomac St | open |
| Penn Family Diner Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1543 E Main St | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 300 E Main St | open |
| Postmasters Coffee and Bakery | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 11235 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Red Run Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 11227 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Renegade Wine Bar | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom | 227 W Main St | open | |
| Riddhi Siddhi Pa, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1900 E Main St | open | |
| Rough Edges Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 91 W Main St | open | |
| Royal Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1543 E Main St | open |
| Sapporo Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 5 E Main St | open |
| Scrambled Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 11729 Anthony Hwy | open |
| Skill City Winners Lounge | Bar | 3 S Potomac St | open | |
| Snack Bar | Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 12525 N Welty Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 690 E Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 11055 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 608 E Main St | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 11055 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| Taqueria La Cienega | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 97 W Main St | open |
| The Candy Kitchen | Dessert | 12 E Main St | open | |
| The cheesecake lab | Bakery | Bakery | 416 Cleveland Ave | open |
| The Crispy Biscuit | Casual dining | American | 88 W Main St | open |
| The Original Arturo's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5261 Buchanan Trl E | open |
| The Rox Box | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 11777 Old Forge Rd | open |
| The Velvet Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 145 W 3rd St | open |
| The Waynesburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 100 W Main St | open |
| TheBakingRoom | Bakery | Bakery | open | |
| Toledo's Pizza & Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 11655 Anthony Hwy | open |
| Toledo’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 800 S Potomac St | open | |
| TranquilaTEA Tea Room and Gift Shop | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 117 W Main St | open |
| Trigger's Table & Taproom | Casual dining · Bar | American | 118 Walnut St | open |
| Twin kiss Waynesboro pa | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7321 Anthony Hwy | open |
| VFW | Casual dining · Bar | American | 346 W Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 650 E Main St | open |
| Zoe's Chocolate Co | Dessert | Dessert | 34 E Main St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 35 | 26 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 32 | 24 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 33 | 21 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 35 | 25 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 35 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 33 | 24 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 35 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 41 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 11 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 43 | 34 | 11 | 18 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 32 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 30 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 34 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 43 | 35 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 40 | 33 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 42 | 34 | 13 | 19 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 43 | 35 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 34 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 35 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 37 | 14 | 22 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 36 | 13 | 21 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 34 | 12 | 20 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 37 | 12 | 22 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 40 | 13 | 23 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 46 | 40 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 44 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2022 |